Swingalong picked for the Duke of York Clipper Stakes at York

Swingalong picked for the Duke of York Clipper Stakes at York

SWINGALONG is my pick for the Clipper Stakes at York on Wednesday. This mare has a good strike-rate away from Group 1 company. She has had five Group 1 starts without a win but has won three of his other six starts. She is unbeaten in G2 races, (1 start for 1 win) and unbeaten at York, (2 starts for 2 wins), therefore she is my selection for this race.

Duke of York Clipper Stakes at York (G2) 6f

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Azure Blue 12/1 411×1 Won Newmarket

2022 Highfield Princess 11/2 3521 Won C2 Newcastle

2021 Starman 5/1 1110X Unplaced G1 Ascot

2020 No race due to covid lock down

2019 Invincible Army 7/2jf 299X1 Won listed Doncaster

2018 Harry’s Angel 4/9f 2114X Fourth G1 Ascot

2017 Tasleet 14/1 2182 Second listed Leicester

2016 Magic Memory 5/2f 113X1 Won G3 Newmarket

2015 Glass Office 40/1 5467 7^th G3 Newmarket

2014 Maarek 12/1 10X72 Second listed Naas

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Kaipana top chance at Newmarket

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Kaipana hard to beat in the Pretty Polly Stakes

KAIPANA won at Newmarket by 10 lengths last time out. On that basis I am picking him to win again. He has a 121 form line from three starts. His first two races were on the all weather. If his turf debut is anything to go by he has a bright future.

#prettypollystakes #newmarket #bettingtips #betting

William Hill Pretty Polly Stakes (listed) 1m2f 3YOF

Newmarket (UK) on Sunday

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Running Lion 100/30 411×1 Won C2 Kempton

2022 With the Moonlight 3/1 4113X Third listed 2YO Newmarket

2021 Mystery Angel 13/2 2225X Fifth listed 2YO St Cloud (Fr)

2020 Run Wild 11/2 1423X Third listed race Newmarket

2019 Maqsad 5/4f 23X1 Won Newmarket maiden

2018 Lah Ti Dah Evsf 1 Won maiden Newbury

2017 Horse Play 11/2 41X Won maiden 2YO Nottingham

2016 Swiss Range 6/4 2X1 Won maiden Newmarket

2015 Jazzi Top 5/2 33X1 Won maiden Kempton

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#prettypollystakes #newmarket #ukhorseracing

Silver Lady nap at Newmarket

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Silver Lady hard to beat at Newmarket

SILVER LADY is my nap bet for the day at Newmarket on Sunday. This mare won a G2 at Meydan Mey last time out. That being her second win in five starts. A horse that has raced six times or less and has a Group win to their credit must be above average. Silver Lady is at 4/1. Running Lion, who won the Pretty Polly Stakes last year is the favourite. He has a better record on the all weather. His turf record is 1 win from 6 starts.

William Hill Dahlia Stakes at Newmarket (G2) 1m1f

(Newmarket on Sunday)

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Via Sistina 5/2f 0421x Won Toulouis

2022 Dreamloper 4/1 1403x Third G1 Newmarket

2021 Lord Bowthorpe 6/1 4166x Sixth G1 Newmarket

2020 Terebellum 10/11f 1315x Fifth G1 Leopardstown

2019 Worth Waiting 3/1 1114x Fourth G1 Longchamp

2018 Wuneida 10/11f 3441x Won G1 Delmar 

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Thooza picked for winning debut at Te Rapa

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Thooza picked for winning debut at Te Rapa 

The two year old race at Te Rapa does not have any form of note and is likely to be won by a debutante. THOOZA is one of those. She won a recent trial over 800m and there is no reason why she cannot win on her debut unless of course the lack of experience beats her but her trainer Tony Pike is known for having his youngsters ready to go first up. JADE DRAGON and SISTER CYRANE are other debutantes that won recent trials and there is no reason why they cannot win on debut either,

Cambridge Raceway 2YO SW+P at Te Rapa 1200m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Solidify $8.30 3 3^rd Tauranga maiden

2022 Chamario $4.80 3231 Won Maiden 2YO

2021 Turning the Ace $2.80 On debut

2020 No race due to covid lock down

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Sindee picked at Te Rapa

Sindee one to beat in Te Rapa 3YO Feature

SINDEE is the one to beat in Saturday’s Cambridge Breeders Stakes if her form is anything to go by. She has won three of her four races and finished third in the other. Her most recent victory came at the same course and distance as Saturday’s race. Her biggest danger may be KOHEROA who finished a close second at Trentham 6/4. A wet track is not likely to inconvenience him. DECEMBER is another horse to consider. He has raced twice at Group level and finished out of the money at both those starts. He has won the races which are not black type. That was the reason why I backed him when he won at Taupo.

Backing both SINDEE and KOHEROA may be the way to go.

Cambridge Breeders Stakes at Te Rapa 1200 Group 3 3YO

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE FORM

2023 DENBY ROAD 8^th Waikato Guineas 3248

2022 BONNY LASS Third 3YO Ellerslie 1513

2021 BABYLON BERLIN 1st 3YO Te Rapa 1321

2020 no race due to covid lockdown

2019 VIGOR WINNER* 2nd Wellington Guineas 112

SPEEDY MEADY* 1st R65 Rotorua 2141

2018 POWER O’HATA 1st R65 New Plymouth 316×1

2017 SWEET LEADER 5th John Grigg Stks Ash x115x

2016 XTRAVAGANT 8th Australian Guineas 1418

2015 SHEES FLAWLESS 1st 3YO Awapuni 3611

2014 SHEZHARDTOCATCH 4th OHCP Awapuni 1044

2013 LITTLE WONDER 3rd 3YO Ellerslie 1143

*Dead-heat

The Fearless One hard to beat at Otaki

The Fearless One hard to beat at Otaki

THE FEARLESS ONE was beaten a neck by LIGHTNING JACK at the course and distance at Otaki 13/4 and has a chance in better going because the going that day was a heavy 9. He has never won in anything other than good. Lightning Jack won with an allowance last start. He is capable of backing that up especially if the going is heavy again. He is a past G3 winner and races best during Autumn. ISLINGTON LASS is an interesting horse. She has won five of her eight races and this is her open handicap debut. She has not won on heavy going so that could be a problem for her. If it is heavy, PRINCE ALBY will be a major chance. The drop back from 2200m will not be a problem if the going is heavy. MR MOJO RISIN is making his open handicap debut. He won at Otaki last time at 1400m. PRIDE OF ASPEN has won three times at Otaki. Her saddle slipped last time out so she is worth another chance. This is a race where punters should watch the weather and then make their decisions accordingly. 

Anzac Day Mile at Otaki OHCP listed

Some previous winners of the Anzac Mile

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Town Cryer

2022 Sergio 4061 Won Woodville/Pahiatua Cup

2021 Mai Tai 1151 1st R74 Ellerslie

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 Ruby Armani 0052

2018 Rockonwood

2014 Julinsky Prince 8168 8th G2 Japan/BOP Trophy (Tauranga)

2012 Time Keeper 5049 9th R85 Awapuni

2011 Neversaynever 2017X 7th R85 Awapuni

2008 Shamrock Star 0616 6th listed Easter Cup (Riccarton)

2007 Buckle My Belt 2264 4th OHCP Awapuni

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#anzacmile #awapuni #nzracing #freebettingtips #horseracing

The Radiant One picked at Riccarton

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The Radiant One picked at Riccarton

THE RADIANT ONE is selected to turn the tables on THE HOTTIE in the Easter Cup at Riccarton after The Hottie beat The Radiant One last week. The Radiant One is 2.5kg better off at the weights this time but that is not the only factor of note. The Radiant One won at the Course and distance in late January having raced at Gore just 7 days earlier. Backing up does not seem to worry her because she raced twice at the New Zealand Cup meeting finishing third and fourth. HASTOBEYOU is an outsider to consider on the minimum. She has won two of her last three races.

Easter Cup at Riccarton 1600m (listed)

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE AGE Wt

2023 TIMES TICKING 8^th Awapuni Gold Cup 7 60kg

2022    IRISH GIRL                       1st F&M G3 Riccarton             5           56kg

 2021 WHALE SONG 2nd Hororata Cup Ricc 5 53kg

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 WHO DARES WINS 4th Timaru Cup 6 53kg

2018 LA FILLE EN JEU 1st Breeders Stks Ricc 6 53kg

2017 TOMMY TUCKER 2nd White Robe Lodge S 8 60kg

2016 TOMMY TUCKER unpl Ohcp Riverton 7 57.5kg

2015 SIR SINGO 4th Ohcp Wingatui 5 53kg

2014 KISSES 1st R75 Pukekohe 4 53kg

2013 DOZINTMATERAW 5th Ohcp Ashburton 6 55kg

2012 I’M YOUR VENUS 4th Breeders Stks Ricc 4 53kg

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The Weight Plus Form Betting System

The Weight Plus Form System

I had the right idea in handicapping that Country Final race at Caulfield last week. That is to go for the horses with the biggest drops in weight. I should have been more mechanical in my work. 

Here is a system to do that.

Allocate points on the following basis:

(a) 1 point for every kilo drop in weight.

(b) 1 point for every length the horse won at its last race.

Deduct points for lengths beaten. 1 point deducted for every length beaten.

Preference is for horses that have last race no longer than 14 days ago.

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6 Wins Plus Horse Racing Betting System

Here is a simple system for betting on proven horses.

Here are the rules.

1. Note all horses who have won at least six races.

2. Eliminate any horse who has not raced within the previous 15 days.

If there is more than one qualifying horse in the same race…

preference is for the one who ran the best placing last time out.

For example…last race wins preferred over last race seconds, thirds, fourths, etc.

Good luck with the system.

Always bet within your means.

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Smart ‘N’ Sharp improver for Ellerslie

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Sharp ‘N’ Smart improver for Ellerslie Feature

Legarto odds-on favourite

LEGARTO is expected to be all the rage in the New Zealand Stakes but don’t underestimate the chances of SHARP ‘N’ SMART; these class horses have a habit of returning to form in these features; as they say, the champagne rises to the top at the major racing carnivals. Sharp ‘N’ Smart finished within 3 lengths of Legarto in the Herbie Dyke Stakes and will be a much fitter horse this time. He is a multiple Group 1 winner. AQUACADE is the other to consider. She is classy and also raced against Legarto in the Herbie Dyke Stakes finishing fifth. ONE BOLD CAT and MALI STON also raced against Legarto last time, finishing third and fourth. One Bold Cat won’t mind a wet track.

New Zealand Stakes (G1) 2000m WFA at Ellerslie

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST START

2023   Prowess                          3111     Won D & K Ellis Classic

2022 Coventina Bay 1221 Won Herbie Dyke Stakes

2021 Melody Belle 1319 9th Herbie Dyke Stakes

2020 Avantage 2141 1st Haunui Farms WFA (Otaki)

2019 Melody Belle 3011 1st Haunui Farms WFA (Otaki)

2018 Saint Emilion 4501 1st Ohcp Ellerslie

2017 Lizzie L’Amour 5102 2nd Kaimai Hcp Matamata

2016 Volkstok ‘N’ Barrell 90×61 1st Hanui Farms WFA (Otaki)

2015 Sakhee’s Soldier 1113 3rd Ohcp Ellerslie

2014 Silent Achiever 668×1 1st Ohcp Ellerslie

2013 Ocean Park 113×4 4th Haunui Farms WFA (Otaki)

2012 Scarlet Lady 178×1 1st Wairarapa Breeders Stakes

2011 The Party Stand 6131 1st Kamai Hcp Matamata

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#newzealandstakes #pukekohe #ellerslie

Asfoora picked at Caulfield

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Asfoora Picked for the Oakleigh Plate

ASFOORA finished second in last year’s Oakleigh PLate behind Uncommon JJames and is a good chance to go one better despite a wide barrier draw. She finished second in the Rubiton Stakes last time as the $1.80 favourite. KALLOS beat her that day. He is her rival again but has an even wider draw to contend with. SGHIRRIPA, BENEDETTA, and KING’S GAMBIT are three horses with good chances in an open field. Sghirripa has a terrific strike-rate but is not a noted Group 1 performer and this is a big test. Benedetta finished 4th in the Silver Eagle last start. That is the only time she has ever been out of the first three. King’s Gambit has never finished out of the first three in six starts. As a three-year-old he has a pull in the weights. Jamie Kah rides him. RECOMMENDATION is consistent. He has run in the first three in 12 of his 14 starts and ran 3rd in the Australia Stakes last time.

Oakleigh Plate at Caulfield 1100m Hcp Group 1

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE WEIGHT ODDS

2023 UNCOMMON JAMES 2nd Rubiton Stakes 53.5kg $9.80

2022 MARABI Won Australia Stakes 54kg $2.50

2021 CELEBRITY QUEEN 2ns Ascot (WA) 53.5kg $4.80

2020 PIPPIE 2nd Begoni Stakes 52kg $11.50

2019 BOOKER 2nd Begoni Stakes 53kg $19.90

2018 RUSSIAN REVOLUTIONMoir Stakes 56.5kg $4.30

2017 SHEIDEL Winterbottom Stks 53kg $7.20

2016 FLAMBERGE Darley Classic 58kg $30.80

2015 SHAMAL WIND W.J.Adams Stks 54kg $10.60

2014 LANKAN RUPEE Rubiton Stks 56kg $3.90

2013 MRS ONASSIS Mumm Stks 52.5kg $15.50

2012 WOORIM Emirates Stakes 55.5kg $22.70

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#oakleighplate #caulfieldracing #australianracing #group1australia