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Hawera (NZ) on Sunday

Hawera (NZ) on Sunday

Race 1-Forty Eight makes his maiden debut in this maiden hurdles race but won on the flat last time out. He is ridden by top jumps jockey Shaun Fannin and is a good chance here.

Race 2-Run Jacko Run ran sixth of fourteen on the flat last time finishing four lengths from the winner. Prefers a heavy track but against hurdlers looks a very good chance. Placed third at his only hurdles race last year.

Race 3-Verry Flash is a class horse on the flat. Over hurdles he should be too good for these. He will be fit after two flat races.

Race 4-Hey Happy was the $1.50 beaten favourite last time out. He is worth another chance at better odds.

Race 5-Whosaid finished less than three lengths from the winner at Woodville at his third start. This is an amateur rider’s race and Kevin Myers tends to win those.

Race 6-Shez Super drops in grade from her effort 8/5 where she was hampered for room. This looks like her time to shine.

Race 7-Media Miss looks close to her peak after a solid run on the all weather last time out when she finished within three lengths of Opawa Jack.

Race 8-Doctor Askar is the obvious chance here on form but heavy going may be a problem.

Race 9-Pinkerton won first up. He is trained by Mark Oulaghan and his horses usually win two on end when in form.

Race 10-Bruno is my pick here. He ran a half a length second at Wanganui last time. This will be just his third race.

Longshots

Race 8-Come to Terms is a local horse on debut and is ridden by a 4kg claimer. I have seen a 4kg claimer winning on a debutante previously.

Madam Pele and Mossraaj are two other locals in the same race.

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Kaipana top chance at Newmarket

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Kaipana hard to beat in the Pretty Polly Stakes

KAIPANA won at Newmarket by 10 lengths last time out. On that basis I am picking him to win again. He has a 121 form line from three starts. His first two races were on the all weather. If his turf debut is anything to go by he has a bright future.

#prettypollystakes #newmarket #bettingtips #betting

William Hill Pretty Polly Stakes (listed) 1m2f 3YOF

Newmarket (UK) on Sunday

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Running Lion 100/30 411×1 Won C2 Kempton

2022 With the Moonlight 3/1 4113X Third listed 2YO Newmarket

2021 Mystery Angel 13/2 2225X Fifth listed 2YO St Cloud (Fr)

2020 Run Wild 11/2 1423X Third listed race Newmarket

2019 Maqsad 5/4f 23X1 Won Newmarket maiden

2018 Lah Ti Dah Evsf 1 Won maiden Newbury

2017 Horse Play 11/2 41X Won maiden 2YO Nottingham

2016 Swiss Range 6/4 2X1 Won maiden Newmarket

2015 Jazzi Top 5/2 33X1 Won maiden Kempton

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Ottoman Fleet the one to beat at Newmarket (UK)

Ottoman Fleet the one to beat at Newmarket (UK)

OTTOMAN FLEET will be very hard to beat in the Sefton Stakes at Newmarket on Wednesday and he has the record to back up his chances. In four starts on the course he has won three times and finished second on the other. He won the Sefton Stakes last year so this should be two wins in the race. ROYAL RHYME will be his biggest challenger. He is unbeaten at Newmarket. HE has won up to listed company but has a 50%+ winning record and last ran at G1 level so is a serious threat to the Ottoman Fleet.

Sefton Stakes at Newmarket (G3) 1m1f

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Ottoman Fleet 6/4f 1333x 3rd G3 Meydan

2022 Master of the Seas 5/4f 1237x 7th G1 Ascot

2021 My Oberon 7/1 1225x 5th listed Redcar

2020 No race

2019 Zabeel Prince 9/2c 0132x 2nd G2 Newmarket

2018 Forest Ranger 8/1 2328x 8th G3 Newmarket

2017 Calderon 10/1 6557x 7th C2 Newmarket

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Irish Grand National-Intense Raffles and Harbur Darc leading chances

Intense Raffles fancied in the Irish GRand National

INTENSE RAFFLE will attempt to maintain his unbeaten record in Ireland by taking out the Irish Grand National at Fairyhouse. The ex-French horse was particularly dominant at his seconds win taking it out by 43 lengths. Both wins were Novice Chases at Fairyhouse so he knows his way around the course. A real heavy track may be a problem for him over te longer distance of 3m5f but that is the unknown factor. It will be a matter of taking him on trust. HARBUR DARC is the other horse I like in the race. He was a listedwiner at Naas last time and is also aiming for his third win on end. He is unbeaten at 3m+ and has won in heavy going. Backing these two horses might be the way to go here.

Irish Grand National at Fairyhouse

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 I AM MAXIMUS 8/1 2244 4th G1 Cheltenham

2022 LORD LARIAT 40/1 1165 Fifth Fairyhouse Chase

2021 FREEWHEELIN DYLAN 150/1 F598 Unpl Punchestown

2020 No race (covid lockdown)

2019 BURROWS SAINT 6/1f 3411 1st G3 Limerick

2018 GENERAL PRINCIPLE 20/1 7046 6th Hcp Ch Leopardstown

2017 OUR DUKE 9/2f 3112 2nd G1 Ch Leopardstown

2016 ROGUE ANGEL 16/1 16P4 4th Hcp Chase Leopardstown

2015 THUNDER & ROSES 20/1 F12U UR C1 Nov Ch Cheltenham

2014 SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR 8/1f 1246 6th C1 Nov Ch Cheltenham

2013 LIBERTY COUNSEL 50/1 13P0 Unpl Cheltenham

2012 LION NA BEARNAI 33/1 1815 5th Navan Hurdle

2011 ORGANISER 12/1 6312 2nd Gowran Park Hurdle

2010 BLUESEA CRACKER 25/1 17P2 2nd Naas Chase

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Les Vampires picked for the Phar Lap Stakes

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Les Vampires picked for the Phar Lap Stakes

LES VAMPIRES ticks enough boxes to suggest that he is the one to beat in the Phar Lap Stakes at Rosehill on Saturday. He raced in the G1 Randwick Guineas a week ago and that being at his sixth race start. As I have always said, “A horse which races at G1 in it’s first six starts must be above average. Les Vampires ran third in the Hobartsville Stakes two starts ago. The second horse in that race won the Randwick Guineas so it is good form all round.

Phar Lap Stakes 3YO at Rosehill 1600m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR HORSE Div FORM LAST RACE

2023 ZOUGOTCHA $1.50 111×4 4th Surround Stakes

2022 MR MOZART 9.20 29X78 Eighth Futurity Stakes 

2020 FUNSTAR 1.50 211X2 2nd Surround Stakes

2019 VERRY ELLEEGANT 2.20 167X2 2nd Vanity Stakes

2018 UNFORGOTTEN 11.00 111X0 Unpl Surround Stakes

2017 FOXPLAY 1.80 14X24 4th Surround Stakes

2016 HATTORI HANZO 13.00 9X311 1st BM64 Moonee Valley

2015 WINX 2.60 22X75 5th Surround Stakes

2014 TRAITOR 7.00 X5121 1st BM72 Kens

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Banbridge offers value in the Ryanair Chase

Banbridge offers value in the Ryanair Chase

(Cheltenham Thursday)

Banbridge offers value in the Ryanair Chase

BANBRIDGE is unbeaten at CHeltenham and has never finished out of the first three in his chasing career. He is preferred over the two favourites Envoi Allen and Stage Star who both have their weaknesses.

Ryanair Chase at Cheltenham 2m4f Grade 1

Thursday

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 ENVOI ALLEN 13/2 33×17 7th G1 Kempton

2022     ALAHO                           4/7f      12X11 Won Thurles (18k)

2021     ALAHO                            3/1f     641     Won THurles (19k)

2020 MIN 2/1 1212 2nd Leopardstown (76k)

2019 FRODON 9/2 1211 1st Cheltenham (57k)

2018 BALKO DES FLOS 8/1 1232 2nd Leopardstown (77k)

2017 UN DE SCEAUX 7/4 1611 1st Cheltenham (40k)

2016 VALTOUR evsf 1112 2nd Kempton (114k)

2015 UXIZANDRE 16/1 418U UR Newbury (30k)

2014 DYNASTRE 3/1f 2125 5th K empton (114k)

2013 CUE CARD 7/2 2151 1st Ascot (84k)

2012 RIVERSIDE 7/2f 1211 1st Ascot (84k)

2011 ALBERTA RUN 6/1 14FP PU Kempton (103k)

2010 ALBERTA RUN 14/1 1362 2nd Ascot (85k)

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