La Crique the class horse at Rotorua

La Crique the class horse at Rotorua

If class is anything to go by then LA CRIQUE should be the bet of the day at Rotorua. This mare is a multiple G1 winner and won the G1 WFA at Otaki last time out. She is at least 10 rating points ahead of anything else in the race. A wet track could throw a spanner in the works with IMPREVU, WESSEX, and MILLEFIORI ready to take advantage if tat happens. Imprevu is unbeaten at Rotorua while Wessex and Milliefiore have won three times in heavy going.

Rotorua Stakes 1400m F&M (G3)

YEAR WINNER RATING LAST RACE 

2023 WESSEX 69 Unplaced 3YO MM Karaka

2022 FRANCESCA 80 Unpl R74 Rotorua

2021 POP STAR PRINCESS 96 Unpl OHCP Te Rapa

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 SLEEPING BEAUTY 96 4th OHCP Rotorua 22 April

2018 TOMELILLA 83 2nd Te Rapa 14 April

2017 LET HER RIP 82 5th Te Rapa 29 April

2016 ILLUMINATI 95 unpl Riccarton 2 April

2015 FASCINATION STREET 80 1st Ellerslie 18 April

2014 I DO 106 1st Otaki 1st May

2013 I DO 92 1st Awapuni 25th April

2012 OAK PARK 80 1st Ellerslie

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Rotorua selections

Here is a system for the Rotorua meeting this coming Saturday 11 May, 2024. Rotorua is a noted horses for courses track so you would expect trainers of past winners at Rotorua to target this meeting. I think the same thing will probably apply to the Chester Cup in England  meeting which starts on 8 May (UK time).

Rule one. Note all horses which have won at Rotorua

Rule two. Horse must have a career strike-rate of at least 20% wins to starts.

That’s it.

Here are some results from the past three years.

Hey Hey Baby career record 4-1-0-0 Course record 1-1-0-0 $5.00

Poser career record 15-3-1-1 Course record 3-1-0-0 $8.30

Raajoices career record 5-1-0-0 Course record 1-1-0-0 $4.40

Calipurna career record 25-5-1-2 Course record 5-4-0-0 $4.70

Pop Star Princess career record 36-8-9-2 Course record 5-1-2- $6.10

Supreme Heights career record 19-7-3-2 Course record 2-2-0-0 2^nd $1.60

Pop Star Princess and Supreme Heights finished first and second in the 2021 Rotorua Stakes. 

System selections for 11/5/24

Race 1-Itza Charmeel

Race 4-Nigella Lane

Race 7-Imprevu

Note in race 6, Raajoices has had two starts at Rotorua for two wins.

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Rotorua Horse Racing Betting System

Rotorua Horse Racing Betting System

Here is a system for the Rotorua meeting this coming Saturday 11 May, 2024. Rotorua is a noted horses for courses track so you would expect trainers of past winners at Rotorua to target this meeting. I think the same thing will probably apply to the Chester Cup in England  meeting which starts on 8 May (UK time).

Rule one. Note all horses which have won at Rotorua

Rule two. Horse must have a career strike-rate of at least 20% wins to starts.

That’s it.

Here are some results from the past three years.

Hey Hey Baby career record 4-1-0-0 Course record 1-1-0-0 $5.00

Poser career record 15-3-1-1 Course record 3-1-0-0 $8.30

Raajoices career record 5-1-0-0 Course record 1-1-0-0 $4.40

Calipurna career record 25-5-1-2 Course record 5-4-0-0 $4.70

Pop Star Princess career record 36-8-9-2 Course record 5-1-2- $6.10

Supreme Heights career record 19-7-3-2 Course record 2-2-0-0 2^nd $1.60

Pop Star Princess and Supreme Heights finished first and second in the 2021 Rotorua Stakes. 

New Plymouth Horse Racing Betting System

Here is a simple horse racing system for this Saturday’s Taranaki meeting at New Plymouth. Simply note all of the Taranaki trained horses and back the one at the shortest price. This is a meeting which Taranaki trainers target and have dominated in recent years. Allan Sharrock and Robbie Patterson are the two leading Taranaki trainers. These two have the best strike-rate of any New Zealand trainer in the top ten.

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The Fearless One hard to beat at Otaki

The Fearless One hard to beat at Otaki

THE FEARLESS ONE was beaten a neck by LIGHTNING JACK at the course and distance at Otaki 13/4 and has a chance in better going because the going that day was a heavy 9. He has never won in anything other than good. Lightning Jack won with an allowance last start. He is capable of backing that up especially if the going is heavy again. He is a past G3 winner and races best during Autumn. ISLINGTON LASS is an interesting horse. She has won five of her eight races and this is her open handicap debut. She has not won on heavy going so that could be a problem for her. If it is heavy, PRINCE ALBY will be a major chance. The drop back from 2200m will not be a problem if the going is heavy. MR MOJO RISIN is making his open handicap debut. He won at Otaki last time at 1400m. PRIDE OF ASPEN has won three times at Otaki. Her saddle slipped last time out so she is worth another chance. This is a race where punters should watch the weather and then make their decisions accordingly. 

Anzac Day Mile at Otaki OHCP listed

Some previous winners of the Anzac Mile

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Town Cryer

2022 Sergio 4061 Won Woodville/Pahiatua Cup

2021 Mai Tai 1151 1st R74 Ellerslie

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 Ruby Armani 0052

2018 Rockonwood

2014 Julinsky Prince 8168 8th G2 Japan/BOP Trophy (Tauranga)

2012 Time Keeper 5049 9th R85 Awapuni

2011 Neversaynever 2017X 7th R85 Awapuni

2008 Shamrock Star 0616 6th listed Easter Cup (Riccarton)

2007 Buckle My Belt 2264 4th OHCP Awapuni

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Bold Belle picked in the City of Napier Sprint

Bold Belle picked in the City of Napier Sprint

BOLD BELLE can win the City of Napier Sprint first up. This mare has won three of her twelve starts; two of her wins were first up and the other was second up. She has had two trials to prepare for this so another first up win is on the cards. ARIS ARIS finished a close second at Tauranga last time and she is a winning chance in t his. All of her wins have been on slow tracks.

City of Napier Sprint 1200m (listed)

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 PURE INCANTO 6×214 4^th Lightning Stakes Trentham

2022 JOHNY JOHNY 16X14 4^th OHCP Tauranga

2021 ROCH ‘N’ HORSE 9220 Unpl Flying Handicap Awapuni

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 PRINCESS KERERU 2712 2nd Lightning Hcp Trentham

2018 INDECISION 1173 3rd R85 Matamata

2017 BONNIE GIRL X140X Unpl Listed OHCP Te Rapa

2016 PASSING SHOT 9101 1st LIghtning Handicap Trentham

2015 WHOSYOURMASTER 9291 1st LIghtning Handicap Trentham

2014 WHOSYOURMASTER 8222 2nd LIghtning Handicap Trentham

2013 I AM SAM 4104X 4th OHCP Ellerslie

2012 GINNER HART 1124 4th R85 Trentham

2011 MAE JINX 2381 1st R90 Te Aroha

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Rudyard selected at Tauranga

RUDYARD is selected to win the Japan Trophy at Tauranga on Saturday, a G2 event for handicappers run under a set weight and penalties conditions. Rudyard may not be as well off at the weights as some but he is in the best form of his life and last time out he carried 60kg when finishing within 2 lengths of Adam I Am. That was a top effort. The start before he won an open handicap at Ellerslie. Tony Pike trains Rudyard. SAINT BATHANS on a 7 day back from his 3rd at Tauranga last week is the other horse I like in this. He will be fit and ready for this assignment while SKYMAN is the top rated horse and has to be considered here.

Japan/BOP Trophy Handicap at Tauranga 1600m G2

YEAR WINNER AGE LAST RACE STARTS 

2023 BRANDO 5 4th OHCP Trentham 23

2022     GINO SEVERINI                          8          7th G1 New Zealand Stakes   43 

2021 PACKING ROCKSTAR 5 1st OHCP Ellerslie 13

2020 SCOTT BASE 5 unpl Kaimai Stakes Mata 20

2019 VOLPE VELOCE 4 8th Haunui Farms WFA (G1) 23

2018 OCEAN EMPEROR 6 4th Opn Hcp Rotorua 21

2017 ALL ROADS 5 2nd R85 Te Rapa 18

2016 WATCH THIS SPACE 4 1st R85 te Rapa 15

2015 JULINKSY PRINCE 5 3rd Haunui Farms WFA G1 27

2014 VIADANA 6 4th Hanui Farms WFA G1 27

2013 OUR FAMOUS EVE 4 Unpl Matamata 11

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Red Sea selected at Matamata

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Red Sea is worth noting for Matamata

RED SEA finished fourth in the listed Slipper at Matamata 24/02 and back to a maiden race he is well placed. He has had the three starts for a second, fifth, and a fourth. The fifth was also a black type race. Red Sea is in race 4 at Matamata on Wednesday.

Other chances at Matamata are BAGGIO in race 2. He was beaten narrowly at Matamata on debut and is set to go one better.

The South Waikato Cup (race 7) is likely to go to SNAZZY TAVI who is right in that winning zone. She has a 1311 form line. She won at Matamata 24/02 beating WOLFGANG who won at Ellerslie on Saturday.

Race 8 may be just a maiden 2000m but CAMACHO is backing up from Taupo on Friday and is worth a bet at long odds. SAX ‘N’ SILKS is a three year old filly in the same race and is the danger.

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Captured by Love picked at Ellerslie

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Captured by Love picked at Ellerslie

It is hard to back against the unbeaten CAPTURED BY LOVE in the Group 1 Sistema Stakes at Ellerslie on Saturday. The classy two year old filly won the Matamata Breeders Stakes easily enough two weeks ago and this should be five wins in a row. The Slipper at Matamata has been a key race to this one in the past which makes SAVAGLEE some kind of chance but he prefers the sting out of the track. If he gets that he is a chance. VELOICIOUS, the Magic Millions winner is expected to be the favourite. She is all class but may need a dry track to beat this field.

Sistema Stakes at Ellerslie 2YO (G1) 1200m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023    TokyoTycoon                 1111   1st Matamata Slipper

2022 Lickety Split 1 Won maiden Ellerslie

2021 Sword of State 1311 Won Slipper Stks Matamata

2020 Cool Aza Beel 4112 Second Slipper Stks Matamata

2019 Yourdeel 1231 Won Slipper Stks Matamata

2018 Sword of Osman 181 Won Slipper Stks Matamata

2017 Summer Passage 21 Won Slipper Stks Matamata

2016 Heroic Valour 11 Won Slipper Stakes Matamata

2015 Dal Cielo 213 Third MM Ellerslie

2014 Vespa 1131 Won MM Ellerslie

2013 Ruud Awakening 1211 Won MM Ellerslie

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Trust in You leading Auckland Cup chance

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Trust in You leading Auckland Cup chance

Terra MItica second best

TRUST IN YOU has the right credentials to win the Auckland Cup but there is one question mark and that is. “Will he stay 2 miles.”I think the way he has been running out his races leaves very little doubt. He finished on strongly over 2400 to win on New Years Day carrying the same weight. In the Nathan’s Memorial he carried 60kg when running second. He drops to 54kg this time. TERRA MITICA is consistent. She finished within 2 lengths of the winner in the Kaimai Stakes carrying 58kg and drops to 52.5kg. She was the beaten favourite over 2400m on New Years Day but I think the soft going put paid to her chances. WAISAKE, CANHEROC, and GOOD OIL are three horses worth watching and  these three could go cheeky races. Waisake is a former Wellington Cup winner, Canheroc ran third in this year’s Wellington Cup while Good Oil finished third in the Nathan’s Memorial.

Auckland Cup at Ellerslie 3200m G2

March 9, 2024

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER LAST START

2023    PLATINUM INVADOR                Fifth Avondale Cup

2022 UAREASTAR Fifth Wellington Cup

2021 OCEAN BILLY Unpl Avondale Cup

2020 ROGER THAT 2nd Kaimai Stakes (Matamata)

2019 GLORY DAYS 1st Avondale Cup

2018 LADIES FIRST 1st Nathans Memorial Handicap

2017 CHENILLE 1st Nathans Memorial Handicap C

2016 EL SOLDADO unpl Kaimai Handicap Matamata

2015 ROCK DIVA 3rd Avondale Cup

2014 WHO SHOT THEBARMAN 1st Avondale Cup

2013 SANGSTER 1st Avondale Cup

2012 SHEZ SENSATIONAL 2nd Nathan’s Memorial Handicap

2011 TITCH 2nd Nathan’s Memorial Handicap

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Lady of Court picked in Dunedin 3YO Feature

Lady of Court picked in Dunedin 3YO Feature

Drakaina Big Chance

LADY OF COURT is picked to win the Airfreight Stakes at Wingatui on Saturday. She won at Riccarton last time in a fast time. The Te Akau runner. She will probably need a good track though. Her two stable mates MAZZUCATO and SENSE OF TIMING both have strong chances

Mazzucato ran fourth over 1200m at Wingatui last time and will find the 1400m more suitable as she has won twice at that distance. Sense of Timing ran third in the Dunedin Guineas and is a chance again. DRAKAINA is the other to consider. Jasmine Fawcett rides her. Draikaina finished a close second in the Dunedin Guineas and would be my second pick. She is right in this!

NZB Airfreight Stakes at Wingatui 3YOF (listed) 1400m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER FORM ODDS LAST RACE

2023 Romancing the Moon 4162 $2.20 2nd Dunedin Guineas

2022 Reputabelle 8X511 $5.40 Won R65 Riccarton

2020 Miss Federer 8282 $6.00 Second Riccarton

2021 The Gift 1226 $3.90 sixth Southland Guineas

2019 Emily Margaret 7392 $3.70 Second R72 Riccarton

2018 Courte Zanrindi 1033 $21.20 Third Southland Guineas 

2017 Residential 3011 $2.10 Won Southland Guineas

2016 Honor That 7044 $22.90 fourth R75 Riccarton

2015 Meeting abandoned

2014 Madam Victoria 114 $4.10 fourth Gore Guineas

2013 Annabelle Rose 6036 $16.70 Sixth R65 Riccarton

2012 Cora Lynn 112 $3.70 Second R75 Riccarton

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