Golden Slipper takes place 24th March at Rosehill
Sunlight, Written By, and Estuaab expected to be the three major Slipper chances.
If you asked me who my fancy isisling Stakes 10 March for the Golden Slipper on Saturday, I would have said Estuaab after her win in the Reisling Stakes 10 March but we have since seen two brilliant performances on Saturday by Sunlight and Written By, so which of the three is rthe best chance. Well you could make a case for all three but Written By has the best credentials because he is a colt and the other two are fillies and they say that a good colt will beat a good filly. Mind you a filly won the Golden Slipper last year and that was She Will Reign. Mossfun and Overeach, winners in 2014 and 2015 are also fillies. That is just one reason. The second is that Written By ran half-a-second faster than Sunlight when winning on Saturday and the third is that Written By has never raced against the two fillies previously but the two fillies have raced aganst each other with Sunlight beating Estuaab by half-a-length 24 February. That race was Estuaab’s second of her career so she can be expected to improve with the experience. I am not too big on fillies trying to win two races on consequetive SAturdays as Sunlight is tring to do but she did manage that feat in January when winning two races on the Gold Coast. What I do find more concerning is that on Saturday she will be having her 7th start which is a lot for a two-year-old especially against Group one company. A class horse can be off it’s game against moderate opposition and still be good enough to win but against Group one company it is hard to keep performing to the same level all the way through.
I think final that barrier draws may have an influence on the odds of each horse as will track conditions. Written By has won in heavy going but Estuaab has only won on good going. Sunlight prior to Saturday had only won on good going but there was some give in the ground I believe at Rosehill on Saturday and she did not seem to be inconvenienced by it.
Golden Slipper Winners
YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE ODDS LAST START Barrier
2017 SHE WILL REIGN 1113 Reisling Stks $1.40 13
2016 CAPITALIST 1112 Todman Stks $1.20 2
2015 VANCOUVER 1×11 Todman Stks $4.00 18
2014 MOSSFUN 1×112 Reisling Stks $4.80 11
2013 OVEREACH 2×11 Reisling Stks $1.40 1
2012 PIERRO 1×11 Todman Stks $2.05 1
2011 SEPOY x1112 Todman Stks $1.18 10
There is a clear pattern here among recent Golden Slipper winners. All of them started in the Todman or Resung Stakes last time out. With ther exception of She Will Reign which finished 3rd, they all finished 1st or 2nd last time out. 6 of the 7 had won at least 3 races.
On the right you can see their last start odds. 4 of them were odds on favourites last time out.
Note the odds have changed since these odds were note with Sunlight and Written by likely to be shorterners in the betting.
Most favoured in the betting with form in brackets are; $4 SUNLIGHT (31111), $6 ESTIJAAB (121), $7 WRITTEN BY (111), $8 PERFORMER ?, $9 SANTOS (34×11)
Main lead-up race results plus all the updated formline for the horses.
2018 Canadian Club Magic Night Stks result 17 March at Rosehill
1, SUNLIGHT, Form 311111,
2,CRISTBAL, Form 12,
3, SWEET AVA, Form 153
2018 Cafe Culture +Insitu Pago Stakes result 17 March at Rosehill
1, WRITTEN BY, Form 1111
2, SANDBAR, Form 1162
3, SPIN, Form 42×23
2018 Reisling Stks Result March 10 at Randwick
1, ESTIJAAB Form 121,
2, PURE ELATION Form 572
3, SISTER SLEDGE Form 3
2018 Todman Stks Result March 10 at Randwick
1, AYLMERTON Form 11
2, EL TROOP Form 1×42
3, TCAIKOVSKY Form 53
2018 TAB Blue Diamond Stakes (Group 1) 24 February at Caulfield
1-WRITTEN BY Form 111
2-ENBIHAAR Form 112
3-OOHOOD Form 2322
2018 TAB Silver Slipper Stakes (Group 2) 24 February at Rosehill
1-SUNLIGHT Form 31111
2-ESTIJAAB Form 121
3-TOUSAIN Form 13
2018 Schweppes Skyline Stakes 3 March at Randwick
1-SANTOS Form 34×11
2-SPIN Form 42×2
3-LEGGEND OF CONDOR Form 1×3
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