CLAN DES OBEAUX SELECTED AT CHELTENHAM

Cheltenham (UK) Saturday

The first of the major races sat CHeltenham will be the Caspian Caviar Gold Cup Handicap, a grade 3 race and it has drawn a good field. CLAN DES OBEAUX is the one to beat. He is the current favourite at 11/2 ($6.50). He has rn twice this season for a win and a second and certainly has a progressive type of formline. His last race was at Haydock 25 November where he won by 7 lengths in heavy going. He has also been placed at CHeltenham. Clan Des Obeaux has started 8 times in chases for 3 wins and a second. Starchtech and Le Prezien are also market leaders.

Leading horses in the market;

FORM  HORSE                         ODDS

514-21 Clan Des Obeaux         11/2

535-12 Starchitech                  6/1

38p-23 Le Prezien                   7/1

F15-64 Ballyalton                    8/1

3F30-3 King’s Odyssey 9/1

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BOY WONDER ELLERSLIE SELECTION

Boy Wonder selected at Ellerslie tomorrow

The Boy Wonder is selected to win the Auckland Age Concerns Salver tomorrow. He lost his rider during the closing stages of the WEllington Stakers at Otaki 1 December and I think he can make amends here. It is a rather low class race fora black type event and Boy Wonder has more ckass than most in this field. Patruick Maloney takes the mount.

There is not a lot of opportunities to pick up a nice priced winner but Danger Dee may provide it in race 6. He was narrowly beaten on the course last time out.

Ambitious Winner in the last may make amends for his last start flop where he was beaten favourite at Ellerslie. His only win came on a right-handed track and he will find the Ellerslie course to his liking tomorrow.

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CRACK ME UP SELECTED AT RANDWICK TODAY

Crack Me Up Selected in the Inglis Villiers at Randwick

Crack Me Up is my selection for the Inglis Villiers Stakes at Randwick today. He has been in tremendous form in Brisbane lately and can transfer that form to Sydney. Last time out he finished strongly for 4th finishing within a length of the winner at the same distance. He was beaten favourite in that race. There were 15 horses in it and he was wide coming around the turn. This race is well within his scope. Jason Collett takes the mount. Other chances in the race are Cabeza De Vca, Mister Sea Wolf, and Federal. All of these horses are quite capable of figuring in the finish somewhere.

Selections for Australia today are;

GREEN SWEET, R3 Randwick

CRACK ME UP R7 Randwick

CALANDA R8 Randwick

KASI FARASI R3 Caulfield

VINLAND R4 Caulfield

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LIZZIE BORDON SELECT AT INVERCARGILL

Lizzie Bordon Selected At Invercargill

LIZZIE BORDON ticks so many boxes in the last race at Invercargill apart from the one that she is a mare but looks well-placed on her home track. She finished 6th at Cromwell 3 December and that run would have topped her off nicely for this. She is trained by Sally McKay on the track and Sally does tend to win races on her home track. Lizzie Bordon prior to her Cromwell run finished a close second on the track and the step up to 1600m will suit her as she has won at a mile previously.

Other strong chances at Invercargill are;

PIPPA REA in race 5. He finished a close 5th at Cromwell 3 December and is trained by John & Karen Parsons who also train JOHNNY JONES, a big chance in race 6. He also raced at Cromwell where he was just beaten.

DEE AND GEE is worth backing in race 7 if you are prepared to forgive her Cromwell run where he finished 12th. She won at 2500m at Riccarton 18 November and it s just possible that she was let up after that hard race to give her time to recover and she may have been short of fitness. It never helped that she was caught wide for most of the way at Cromwell. Of the others, Sureasyouwereborn, the winner of this race previously may provide some keen competition for Dee and Gee.

SNOW SECRET ONE TO BEAT IN WAIKATO CUP

Snow Secret Who is Going to Win The Waikato Cup

SNOW SECRET is the one they have to beat in tomorrow’s Waikato Cup at Te Rapa. She finished 5th when well-backed in the Wanganui Cup 2 December but never received the best of runs. This was her first start at Wanganui and it is a track which trips some horses up. Another thing which could have been her undoing in that race is that it was her first race for 28 days. I believe with that run under her belt and an increase in distance of 300 or so metres, she will be the one to beat especially with just 53kg on her back.

The other big race in the CAll Isuzu Stakes (WFA) over 1600m where is expected that Love Affair will be a strong favourite but I think she is worth opposing because she has only had the 5 race day starts and is up against seasoned campaigners such as Stolen Dance and Lizzie L’Amour, both of which have Group one form. Not only that but Love Affair is up in weight, class, and distance and in fact is trying 1600m for the first time. STOLEN DANCE is the selection here because her last start had a little bit of “next time out winner’ written all over it. She actually won this race in 2015 and loves Te Rapa.

DEALS IN HEELS is the selection in the third major race at Te Rapa. She finished 5th in the Group 2 Auckland Thoroughbred Breeders Stakes 25 November. The four horses that finished in front of her were Sensible Princess, Francaletta, Cold Play,, and Cote D’or and nothing of that calibre are in the field. Deals N Heels has only 53kg to carry.

Other chances at Te Rapa are SAVAPAK (race 5). He is in consistent form and there is no reason why he will not race well again. Street Smart and Desert Storm are long shots worth considering each-way.

ONE PRIZE ONE GOAL will be tough to roll in the last race. The left handed way around will suit him better this time. He didn’t get much of a go last time out at Ellerslie and two starts back at Pukekohe he drew the car park. Three starts back he finished a close second at Te Rapa on the same course and distance.

Savvy Coup Eulogy Selection At Awapuni

Savvy Coup Eulogy Stakes Fancy

Savvy Coup looks the one to beat in Saturday’s Eulogy Stakes at Awapuni. The Micheal Pitman trained filly was the beaten favourites and an odds-on one at that when finishing second at Trentham last Saturday. Prior to that Savvy Coup was a dominant winner when winning twice at Riccarton during the Cup meeting. Those two wins did leave some wondering whether she should have lined up in the G1 1000 Guineas on the last day of the NZ Cup meeting. Dijon Bleu will be hard to beat in the race especially if it is wet. She finished second in the 1000 Guineas, won by Hasahalo. Her presence in the field will help Savvy Coup’s pay a better price than the $1.80 she was paying last week. Divine Power finished 3rd in the Wellington Stakes 1 December is another chance. She like Dijon Bleu is trained on the course. Satin Belt, a stable mate of Divine Power finished 5th in the Trentham Stakes. She has no form further than 1200m. Dance For Money another who started in the WEllington Stakes at Otaki will really need it wet. She finished second on thwe course and distance on Feilding Cup day 4 November (beaten 3.5 lengths) She is a place chance at least with conditions to suit.

Lewis Carroll will be the one to beat in race 3 at AWapuni. He resumed racing at Ellerslie 2 December carrying 58.5kg and has 55kg this time. He will be fitter with that run under his belt.

Blaithwaite looks the obvious choice in the Manawatu Cup trial. He carried 60kg when finishing second in the Wanganui Cup. He carried 6 kg more than the winner All in Vogue in that race. On Saturday Blaithwaite has just 54kg with a 2kg claim. Any rain will help him but he will not necessarily be inconvenienced by a good track.

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West Coast Galloping Circuit in January

West Coast Gallops Circuit Next Month

The West Coast horse racing circuit is just around the corner and weather wise things are looking up. At the last circuit, the weather ruined it with Hokitika providing the heaviest footing ever raced on a race track in New Zealand and this was the middle of summer. Kumara was abandoned altogether.

November was the driest on record for soe places in New Zealand and the dry weather has continued during December.

When it comes to backing winners, those horses with previous form on West Coast tracks are the ones to follow. There are several of them that have never been beaten on a West Coast track.

At Hokitika I went there with my nephew and his mother and my nephew who went to the races for the first time said he will back the nes paying the most money so he backed several horses in each race and a string of long shots came in and he left with a good profit. Of course this type of system will only work when the ground is heavy.

I have an ebook covering the West Coast circuit. It is only $5

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Redcayenne worth backing at Ellerslie

Tomorrow’s Ellerslie Selections

Redcayenne Open Handicapper in the Making?

Its a big call to make but I think that Redcayenne is going to be a middle distance star to be reckoned with and he can make that start by winning his maiden in race 2 at Ellerslie tomorrow. I first backed Redcayenne in July when he was badly checked at Ruakaka in slow going which was an inconvinience to him but he finished the race well and may have won with a better run. His two starts since having a layoff have been in quite good, finishing both his races in fine style. The extra 600 metres will suit him nicely. It is a nice field of maidens and some future winners should come out of the race.

Lily the Pink in race one is an interesting runner. She has had only one race, in a black .type event at Ellerslie but no jockey has been listed for her which sometimes means they are going to be declared a non-runner

Ruby Bridges in the last race, last ran in the Group one NZ Oaks. She is trained by Stephen marsh who usually has his horses ready to go first up after a layoff.

In race 5, Monrecour was an impressive winner at Pukekohe 25 November in a field of 16. She quickened up nicely and this field is well within her reach.

Princess Sapphire finished 3rd at Ellerslie at a mile 2 DEcember and will be hard to beat in race 4. She is consistent.

Race 1-lily THe Pink

Race 2-Redcayenne

Race 3-Vaudesir

Race 4-Princess Sapphire

Race 5-Monrecour

Race 6-Ruby Bridges.

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Free Betting Systems

The Weekend Warrior System

RULE ONE

Most recent race must have been not more than 14 days ago.

RULE TWO

Must have won or finished second at its last race or second to last race.

RULE THREE

Must have raced at least twice within the previous 42 days.

RULE FOUR

Must have gained at least two wins or at least one win and a second within its last six starts.

All system qualifiers to be backed each way.

The Consistent Horse System

RULE ONE

Most recent race must have been not more than 14 days ago

RULE TWO

Finished in the money in at least 50% of its career starts

RULE THREE

Has not won any of its last six races.

Longshot System

RULE ONE

Last race must have not have been more than 14 days ago

RULE TWO

Second to last race must not have been more than 28 days ago

RULE THREE

Finished unplaced at both of its last two races.

Not a Flash-in-the-pan System

RULE ONE

Last race not more than 14 days ago

RULE TWO

Has one of the following forms;

43, 53, 63, 73, 83, 93, 03, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 30

42, 52, 62, 72, 82, 92, 02, 24, 25, 26, 27, 28, 29, 20.

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Trainers to Watch

Trainers to watch

The following trainers are worth watching for the next few weeks at the meetings listed;

COURSE                       TRAINER

Awapuni                      G Vile, L Latta, Autridge/Richards, Baker/Forsman

Te Rapa                       Baker/Forsman, S Marsh, M Moroney/P Geraard, D & P Williams

Ellerslie                       Logan/Gibbs, D & P Williams, Autidge/Richards

New Plymouth             Baker/Forsman, J Wheeler, M Breslin

Wingatui                     M & M Pitman, J & K Parsons, B & S Anderton

Waikouiti                     J & K Parsons, M & M Pitman

 

A review on the Melbourne Cup