Maxi King has class for the Copper Horse Handicap

Maxi King has class for the Copper Horse Handicap

MAXI KING should have enough class to take out Tuesday’s Copper Horse Handicap on day one at Royal Ascot. He ran fourth at Group 3 level at Newbury last time out and prior to that he won two races in a row.His form line up to the mile is 24433 and at distance further than a mile it is 1114. That tells you that Maxi King Excels over the longer distances. 1M 6f will be the furthest he has raced in but that should not hold any fears for him because he won in heavy going over 1m2f and carried 9.6 , it takes stamina to win in heavy going. 

Copper Horse Stakes at Royal Ascot C2 1m6f

This race has only been going since 2020. Here are the winners so far:

YEAR WINNER ODDS

2023 Vauban Evsf 4411 Won Hurdles Punchestown

2022 Get Shirty 16/1 6X121 Won C3 Hamilton

2021 Amitiyaz 33/1 321X6 6th C2 Lingfield

2020 Fujaira Prince 3/1F 1123X 3rd C2 Hcp Royal Ascot

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#royalascot

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Notable Speech hard to beat at Royal Ascot

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Notable Speech favourite for the St James Palace StakesThe unbeaten NOTABLE SPEECH will be well-backed for the St James Palace Stakes. He has won all four of his races; the most recent being in the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket. Three of the last seven winners of this race were unbeaten going into this race. ROSAILLION has to be his biggest danger. He finished second to Notable Speech in the 200 Guineas at Newmarket before winning the Irish 2000 Guineas at the Curragh. He has won two Group ones in his last three races.St James Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot (G1)PAST WINNERSYEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE2023 Paddington 11/5 1×111 Won Irish 2000 Guineas2022 Coraebus 10/11f 121×1 Won English 2000 Guineas2021 Poetic Flare 7/2f 1162 Second Irish 2000 Guineas2020 Palace Pier 4/1 11×1 Won class 2 Ascot2019 Circus Maximus 10/1 34×16 Sixth Epsom Derby2018 Without Parole 9/4f 1×11 Won listed race Sandown2017 Barney Boy 5/2 1×12 Second 2000 Guineashttp://www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.comhttp://www.facebook.com/winningfactors#stjamespalacestakes#royalascot

Adaay in Heaven picked at Sandown (UK)

Adaay in Heaven picked at Sandown (UK)

ADAAY IN  HEAVEN is my pick for the Curry Stakes at Sandown on Saturday. This horse is super consistent having finished in the first three in 11 of his 14 race starts. Of those three starts. One of them was on the all weather, his only all weather race, one was at 7f, his only race at that distance, and the other was when he ran fourth at Doncaster, his only race at that track. This will be his first race at Sandown so it will be interesting to see how he goes.

Scurry Stakes at Sandown (UK) (listed) 5f

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Lady Havana 9/1 5455x 5^th listed race Chelmsford

2022 Mitbaahy 9/2 20×21 Won C2Hamilton

2021 Atalis Bay 6/4f 96×12 Second listed race York

2020 Lazuli 15/8f 118×2 Second C2 Newmarket

2019 Kurious 5/1 94×20 Unplaced listed race Newbury

2018 Haddaf 5/1 0x118 8^th listed race York

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Haydock-Witchhunter picked

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Haydock-Witchhunter picked

WITCHHUNTER ran third at G1 level at Newbury last time and that form should be good enough to win here. He is a consistent horse but seldom wins, however he is a g2 winner from last season. POGO has to be a big chance. He finished a neck second at the CD last time and is a proven Group winner.

John of Gaunt Stakes at Haydock 7F (G3)

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023    Jumby                     9/4f      65×50   Unpl G1 Newbury

2022 Pogo 17/2 2750 Unplaced G2 Mey

2021 Kinross 5/1C 9166 6th Meydan Mey (G2)

2020 No race

2019 Safe Voyage 6/1 1011 1st C2 Haydock

2018 D’bai 3/1 144X2 2nd listed Windsor

2017 Absolutely Co 6/1 5X042 2nd listed race Haydock

2016 Home of the Brave 9/4F 6001 1st Listed race leicester

2015 Cable Bay 5/1 62X35 5th G1 race Newbury

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Winter Betting System

Following 4kg claimers might be worthwhile during winter

The Winter Betting System

The heavy tracks in New Zealand has seen quite a number of horses that have won with light weights as a result of a  4kg claimer aboard. Many of these horses have won or run places at long odds. Here are the horses with a 4kg claimer aboard at Matamata on Wednesday 5 June.There are two 4kg apprentices riding at Matamata, Tayla Melvin and Rhaan Guyaam. Tayla rides for the powerful Walker/Bergerson stable so I can see here raking up the wins. She rode her first winner two Saturday’s ago and has two strong chances on Wednesday. I have not heard of Rhaan Guyaam. 

Tayla Melvin’s rides

Race 2-Moon Rocket

Race 7-Baronet

Rhaan Goyaam’s rides

Race 2-Living in Hope

Race 5-Bubalina

Race 6-Bubalina

Race 7-My Amigo

Race 8-Molly’s Gold

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Emily Upjohn favourite for Epsom

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Emily Upjohn Favourite at Epsom (UK)

EMILY UPJOHN is the odds-on favourite for the Coronation Cup at Epsom on Friday, a G1 race over 1m4f (2400m). Her record suggests that she is the one to be. In 10 starts she has won 5 times and finished second twice. Her record at Epsom Downs is two starts for a win and a second. She won last year’s Coronation Cup and in 2022 finished a close second to Tuesday in the Oaks. Both of those races are run at 1m4f. Punters should kind in mind that she prefers good going. She has won on good to soft going but it all depends on how much rain their is.

Coronation Cup at Epsom 1m 4f (G1)

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Emily Upjohn 11/4 1261x Won G1 Ascot

2022 Hakum 11/4 121X1 Won Medan Mey

2021 Pyle Driver 8/1 1372 Second Newmarket

2020 Ghaiyyath 11/10 3101 1st Meydan Mey

2019 Defoe 11/1 02X42 2nd G2 Newmarket

2018 Cracksman 2/7F 111X1 1st G1 Longchamp

2017 Highland Reel 9/4 212X7 7th Meydan Mey

2016 Postponed 8/11 1111X 1st Meydan Mey

2015 Pethers Moon 11/1 17X23 3rd G2 Newmarket

2014 Cirrus Des Aigles 10/11F 4211 1st G1 Longchamp

2013 St Nicholas Abbey 30/100F 3031 1st G1 Meydan Mey

2012 St Nicholas Abbey 8/11F 5122 2nd G3 Curragh (Ireland)

2011 St Nicholas Abbey EVSF 16X31 1st G3 Chester

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#epsomdowns #coronationcup

King Frankel hard top beat in the Premier’s Cup

King Frankel hard top beat in the Premier’s Cup

KING FRANKEL ticks enough boxes to suggest that he can win the Premier’s Cup at Eagle Farm on Saturday. This will be his third run back from a spell having finished less than 6 lengths from the winner in the Wagga Cup and less than 4 lengths from the winner in the Chairman’s Handicap 2 weeks ago. He is from the in form Annabel Neesham stable. Neesham also has REGAL LION, DOUBLE CHERRY, and SPIRIT RIDGE engaged.

Premiers Cup at Eagle Farm (G3) 2400m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Kukeracha 7×053 Third Wagga Cup

2022 Splendiferous 2116 Sixth Ramside Hcp Flemington

2021 Spirit Ridge 2502 Second Wagga Wagga Cup

2020 No race

2019 The Candyman 1111 Won Gold Coast

2018 Rising Bird 0433 Third Chairman’s Hcp Doomben

2017 Kaiser Franz 9530 Unplaced Chairman’s Doomben

2016 Real Love 1321 Won Doomben

2015 Faust 1772 Second Wagga Wagga Cup

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#eaglefarm #premierscup 

The Duffers Creek Betting System

Here is a system which I found on my computer. I came up with it several years ago after Duffer’s Creek won the Wanganui WFA.  There are not many horses which qualify. It is interesting to note that three recent winners of the Wanganui WFA were qualifiers of this system. They were Duffers Creek, Dolcetto, and Amusez Moi.

That Wanganui race is on this Saturday.

THE DUFFER’S CREEK BETTING SYSTEM

RULE ONE

Must have raced at least three times since a layoff

RULE TWO

Must have last raced within the previous fifteen days.

RULE THREE

Must not have shown a negative form line in its last three starts

RULE FOUR

Must not have won within its last four starts

RULE FIVE

Adding the last three form figures together, the total must not exceed 15

Positive form lines

When we are looking for a positive form line, we mean a horse in its last three starts has improved its finishing position or at least has not finished further back then its previous start. The ideal form line would be 432 but form 633 also qualifies.

Adding these three form figures together would give you a form total of 9. That is 4+3+2=9 which qualifies as a selection.

Some horses that qualified & won about this time last year in previous seasons, their form, and their dividends were: Gabriel $6.00 and $2.20, Sixties Groove $3.90 and $2.00, Dolcetto $7.30 and $2.30, Call Me Irish 653 $8.50, Accidental Offside 542 $9.00, Veracious 552 $7.50, Its a Wonder 843 $2.70, Duffers Creek 633 $9.00, Madonna Mia 762 $4.60, Amusez Moi 622 $5.80

Horses for courses system does well at Wanganui therefore note anything which has won or finished placed on the course. Wanganui trained horses have a good record on their home track; take particular note of those that have raced not longer than 14 days ago.

Trainers that do well at this meeting are Lisa Latta and Allan Sharrock. The Latta yard seems to have one which wins at such a price that it covers the cost of backing all of the stable’s runners. In the last 2 years that has been the case.

Those horses that won or finished second or third at Trentham have a good record here.

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Berry the Cash picked for Awapuni Hurdles

Berry the Cash picked for Awapuni Hurdles

BERRY THE CASH has just had the five hurdles races but that includes a Grand National Hurdles. This horse could turn out to be the Hurdles Star of the winter. He won on the flat last time out and this race is certainly within his reach. ENGLISH GAMBLER won at Te Rapa last time. He has won four times over hurdles and is the major danger to English Gambler. LOCHWINNOCH is the other horse to consider. He was beaten by a very smart hurdler at Hawera last time. IT is worth noting that Lochwinnoch is unbeaten at the course and distance.

Awapuni Hurdles at Woodville on Sunday 3000m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WEIGHT FORM LAST RACE

2023    Sulliman 67.5kg 511×0 Unplaced Rotorua Flat

2022 Aigne 70kg 34X9L LR Steeples Wanganui

2021 Chief Sequoah 65.5kg 8231 Won maid hurdle Ellerslie

2020 No race

2019 Gallante 65kg 8X032 2nd Hurdle Trenthan (BF)

2018 Iffitell 65kg 0951 1st MDN HDL Te Rapa

2017 Sea King 70kg 46P3 3rd RST OPN HDL Trentham

2016 My Magician 65kg 5381 1st Flat Maiden Awapuni

2015 Superturf 65kg 7231 1st RST OPN HDL Trentham

2014 Indikator 65kg 0011 1st RST OPN Hurdle Hastings

2013 Zenocoin 65.5kg 2112 2nd K.S.Browne Hurdle

Star Shadow picked for the Champagne Stakes at Pukekohe

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STAR SHADOW is expected to be the odds-on favourite for the Champagne Stakes at Pukekohe on Saturday. The Te Akau filly has done little wrong in her two starts to date, winning in heavy going on debut and running fifth in listed company at her second start. She is the only race winner in this field. TAKE THE CROWN could give Star Shadow a run for her money. He ran third two weeks agio at New Plymouth so has to be right in this. It is hard to fancy the others.

Champagne Stakes at Pukekohe 1600m (listed)

PAST WINNERS (previously held in April)

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Saltcoats 23 Third Te Rapa

2022 Sharp ‘N’ Smart 2 2^nd Ruakaka

2021 Lady Maroal 9X15 5th Sires Produce Awapuni

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 Quick Thinker 2 2nd Rotorua Maiden

2018 Rubira 54 4th New Plymouth Maiden

2017 Qui Phoenix 11 1st Ellerslie

2016 Astara 241 1st Ellerslie

2015 Brighton 3 3rd Avondale Maiden

2014 Caduceus 1 1st Waverley Maiden

2013 Fast Dragon 7X5 5th  Ellerslie

2012 Swiper the Fox 5051 1st Pukekohe Maiden

2011 Dowager Queen 2013 3rd Sires Produce Awapuni (G1)

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#champagne Stakes #pukekohe #freebettingtips