Tag Archives: australia

Mazu picked in the Hall Mark Stakes at Randwick

Mazu picked in the Hall Mark Stakes at Randwick

MAZU has a form line stacked full of G1 races and back to a G3 event he is likely to be more competitive, albeit with the top weight of 60kg, but over 1200m that will not be too much of an issue with a tight weight scale. Biggest danger will be VILANA who won this race last year. Vilana is first up and has won three times first up previously. James Cummings trains Vilana and the stable is known for getting their sprinters ready first up.

Hall Mark Stakes at Randwick 1200m (G3)

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Vilana 7810x Unplaced Gold Rush (Ascot Aus)

2022 Kementari 7410 Unpl MM Gold Coast

2021 Splintex 58X40 Unpl The Galaxy Stakes

2019 Trekking 194X4 4th M Macca Stakes

2018 Burning Passion 30X37 7th St Kin Stakes

2017 Redzel 81X22 2nd The Galaxy

2016 Music Magnate 3111 1st Randwick

2015 Our Boy Malachi X111X 1st Randwick

2014 Hot Snitzel 002X2 2nd St KIngdom Stakes

http://www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.com

http://www.facebook.com/winningfactors

Via Sistina picked at Randwick

Via Sistina picked at Randwick

It is hard to go past the two European imports VIA SISTINA and PLACE DU CARROUNSEL in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Randwick on Saturday. They finished first and second respectively in the Ranvet Stakes on their Australian debuts and can be expected to improve. They also bring solid English form into the race. The best of the remainder has to be CASCADIAN because he has such a good record at Randwick and is improving with each race.

Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Randwick G1 2400m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Dubai Honour 426X1 Won Ranwet Stakes

2022 Think it Over 1424 Fourth Tancred Stakes

2021 Addeybb X11X2 Second Ranwet Stakes

2018 Winx 11X11 Won George Ryder Stakes

2017 Winx 1X111 Won George Ryder Stakes

2016 Lucia Valentina 915X4 Fourth Coolmore Classic

2015 Criterion 53X32 Second George Ryder Stakes

2014 Its a Dundeel 8X232 Second Tancred Stakes

http://www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.com

http://www.facebook.com/winningfactors

#queenelizabethstakes #randwick #sydney

Learning to Fly picked in the P J Bell Stakes at Randwick

Photo by Aliaksei Semirski on Pexels.com

Learning to Fly picked in the P J Bell Stakes at Randwick

Miraval Rose worth noting

LEARNING TO FLY finished fourth in the G1 Surround Stakes at Randwick 2/3 and that form should be good enough to win the P J Bell Stakes at Randwick on Saturday. at her second to last trace she ran second to Kimochi in the Light Fingers Stakes. MIRAVAL ROSE has never finished out of the first two and is expected to be ready for a good first up run. Her last two runs have been at Caulfield. KRISTILLI has a similar form line to learning to Fly in that she raced in the Surround Stakes and the Light Finger Stakes at her last two starts. She is unbeaten in heavy going which is a key factor if the forecast rains arrive.

P J Bell Stakes at Randwick (G3) 1200m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Arts $32.20 Unplaced Kembla Grange Classic

2022 Heresy $4.80 04×54 4th Surround Stakes

2021 Match Maker $11.20 30×27 7th Rosehill

http://www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.com

wwsw.facebook.com/winningfactors

Kintyre selected in the Tulloch Stakes

Photo by @coldbeer on Pexels.com

Kintyre selected in the Tulloch Stakes

KINTYRE has a chance of black type glory in the Tulloch Stakes at Rosehill. He ran third in the Phar Lap Stakes last time out and there is every indication that he will get the distance of 1500m. SALTCOATS is expected to be his biggest danger. He finished 8th in the Phar Lap but has never finished out of the first two twice in a row and James McDonald rides him.

Tulloch Stakes at Rosehill  (3YO) 2000m (G2)

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE

2023     TAPILDOODILDOO      

2022 CHARACTER Third Phar Lap Stakes

2021 YALETOWN Fourth Phar Lap Stakes

2020 QUICK THINKER 1st Rosehill

2019 ANGEL OF TRUTH 5th BM78 Rosehill

2018 LEVENDI 2nd Alister Clark Stakes Moonee Valley

2017 JON SNOW 3rd NZ Derby Ellerslie

2016 OLD NORTH 4th Phar Lap Stakes Rosehill

2015 HAURAKI 2nd Phar Lap Stakes Rosehill

2014 GALLATIN 5th Kensington

2013 PHILIPPI 2nd Alister Clark Stakes Moonee Valley

2012 POLISH KNIGHT 9th 3YO HCP Caulfield 

www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.com

Atishu selected in the Australian Cup

Photo by Aliaksei Semirski on Pexels.com

Legarto v Mr Brightside at Flemington

The matchup between Legarto and Mr Brightside will be very interesting on Saturday. Both horses were beaten favourites last time out. Legarto was the $1.20 favourite when fishing second at Ellerslie last time out while Mr Brightside was the $2.00 favourite when running second in the All Star Mile. Mr Brightside finished placed in the Cox PLate last year over 2040m but a strong 2000m at Flemington is a different kettle of fish and both of these two will be racing at a distance further than their best. ATISHU could beat them. She has won three times at Flemington including the McKinnon Stakes at 2000m and has won three times at the distance.

Australian Cup at Flemington G1 2000m

YEAR WINNER FORM PREVIOUS RACE

2023 CASCADIAN

2022 THINK IT OVER 11X14 Fourth Chipping Norton Stakes

2021 HOLMESMAN Peter Young Stakes (3rd)

2020 FIFTY STARS Blamey Stakes (1st)

2019 HARLEM Peter Young Stakes (7th)

2018 HARLEM 67×28 Peter Young Stakes (Caulfield)

2017 HUMIDOR 9422 Peter Young Stakes (Caulfield)

2016 PREFERMENT 9074 Peter Young Stakes (Caulfield)

2015 SPILLWAY 44×54 Peter Young Stks (Caulfield)

2014 FIORENTE 431×1 Peter Young Stakes (Caulfield)

2013 SUPER COOL 12×31 Autumn Classic (3YO) (Caulfield

2012 SOUTHERN SPEED 4×125 Peter Young Stakes (Caulfield)

2011 SHOCKING 60X07 St George Stakes

Note; Awesome Rock was first past the post in 2016 but was relegated to 2nd after an enquiry.

www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.com

Orchestral the one to beat in the Vinery Stud Stakes

Orchestral the one to beat in the Vinery Stud Stakes

Orchestral has taken the New Zealand racing scene by storm this season and is set to do likewise in Australia. She won the Magic Millions 3YO, the Avondale Guineas, and the NZ Derby and now takes on the Aussies. Zardozi and Kimochi are expected to finish second and third behind Orchestral. They are rated on 107, 102, and 98 respectively with the next highest rated runner being Autumn Angel on 88. Zardozi won the Phar Lap Stakes last time while Kimochi ran third in the G1 Coolmore Classic.

Vinery Stud Stakes at Rosehill (3YOF) G1 2000m

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE FORM

2023    PROWESS                                   1st Pukekohe (NZ)

2022 FANGIRL Fourth Phar Lap Stakes 1X154

2021 HUNGRY HEART 1st Phar Lap Stakes 7X781

2020 SHOUT THE BAR 2nd Kembla Grange 12

2019 VERRY ELEEGANT 1st Phar lap Stakes 57×21

2018 HIYAAM 3rd Phar Lap Stakes 343×3

2017 MONTOYA’S SECRET 1st 3YO Moonee Valley 5221

2016 SINGLE GAZE 1st Kembla Grange 0221

2015 FENWAY 4th Matron Stakes 43×44

2014 LUCIA VALENTINA unpl Coolmore Classic F2x30

2013 NORZITA 3rd Coolmore Classic 1×123

2012 MOSHEEN 1st Randwick Guineas x1211

www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.com

http://www.facebook.com/winningfactors

Port Lockroy picked in the Canberra Guineas

Port Lockroy picked in the Canberra Guineas

(Sunday)

PORT LOCKROY finished 5th in the G1 Champion Stakes at just his sixth start and I think that form should be good enough for him to win the Canberra Guineas on Sunday. GOLD BULLION has a similar form line but I think 1400m is too short for him. XIDAKI was just a maiden winner but it was a strong race which he won and he is capable of going on with it. THUNDERLIPS is the other horse to consider.

So United picked for the Canberra Cup 

(Sunday)

SO UNITED finished within a length of the winner in the Parramatta Cup 24/2 and that form should be good enough to win Sunday’s Canberra Cup on Sunday. ALMANIA was narrowly beaten in the same race and is one of the major players. Top weight BOIS D’ARGENT has not raced since the Caulfield Cup but has a great first up record and is good enough to win despite the 58.5kg he has to carry.

http://www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.com

http://www.facebook.com/winningfactors

Brave Mead picked in Zeditave Stakes

Photo by Esra Korkmaz on Pexels.com

Brave Mead picked in Zeditave Stakes

BRAVE MEAD is my pick for the Zeditave Stakes at CAulfield. He has finished out of the money just once in 10 race starts; that is a 90% rate of being in the first three. He won at the CD last time out and is the top-rated in the race.

Zeditave Stakes (G3) (3YOC&G) 1200m Caulfield

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE FORM DIV

2023   RECOMMENDATION     1st Canterbury                          15×31   $9.00

2022   FINANCE TYCOON          3rd Moonee Valley                   1x6x3   $5.80

2021 OXLEY ROAD 1st Maiden Flemington 1 $2.60

2020 HE’LL HAUNT US 1st Gold Coast 63X1 $8.20

2019 TERRIUM 3YO Hcp Sandown 111 $7.00

2018 OVERSHARE Manifred Stks (Caulfield) 19×92 $3.50

2017 BENZ Sandown Guineas 1555x $3.90

2016 SANTA ANA LANE Gothic Stakes (Caulfield) 114x $9.20

2015 ROMMEL 3YO (Perth) 217×3 $7.80

2014 NOT LISTENINTOME Coolmore (Flemington) 1122x $1.60

2013 GRAND EMPORER BM78 (Moonee Valley) x1234 $15.90

2012 HOT SPIN Rubiton Stks (Caulfield) 29×23 $2.20

http://www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.com

http://www.facebook.com/winningfactors

Justaboom selected at Caulfield

Photo by Aliaksei Semirski on Pexels.com

Caulfield-Justaboom selected for the Autumn Classic

JUSTABOOM ticks a lot of boxes in the Autumn Classic at Caulfield. He won at the same course and distance last time out and had a bit in hand. He has never finished out of the first three. IMMEDIACY is the top-rated in the race. He will be hard to beat. He has won both of his starts and you can only win. It is a race where you cannot feel confident about anything as it is a race full of unexposed youngsters.

Caulfield Autumn Classic at Caulfield (G2) 3YOS

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE FORM

2023 PERICLES 4th Autumn Stakes 238×4

2022 CATLEREAGH KID Won BM64 Sandown 22X11

2021

2020 ADELAIDE ACE 3rd Caulfield 15X13

2019 GLOBAL EXCHANGE 1st BM58 Werribee 315×1

2018 VALIANT SPIRIT BM70 Moonee Valley 1162

2017 FARSON 1st BM70 Moonee Valley x1411

2016 TALLEY 1st BM70 Moonee Valley 15×11

2015 ALPINE EAGLE 1st 3YO Hcp Morphetville 3×11

2014 VILANOVA 7th 3YO BM74 Rand 3377

2013 SUPER COOL 3rd Autumn Stks Caulfield 212×3

2012 UPBEAT 4th BM 85 Warwick Farm 3614

http://www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.com

http://www.facebook.com/winningfactors

#autumnclassic #sandownaustralia #bettingtips #freetips #horseracing

Unusual Culture picked at Caulfield

Photo by Aliaksei Semirski on Pexels.com

Unusual Culture top pick in the Carlyon Cup

It is a poor field for the Carlyon Cup but UNUSUAL CULTURE is the top pick because her rivals will probably find the 1600m too short and are using the race to kick off their campaigns. Unusual Culture ran sixth at Caulfield last time out. She finished within 2 lengths of the winner and will improve with that run. She just needs to reproduce the effort to win here. YONCE is her biggest threat. She finished one place ahead of Unusual Culture at Caulfield. Her record is 6 wins from 9 starts which is impressive. Backing these two is the way to go.

TS Carlyon Cup 1600m (G3) at Caulfield

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE

2023 POUNDING 1st Moonee Valley

2022 EARLSWOOD 6th Leopardstown (Ire)

2021 BEST OF DAYS 2nd Summer Stakes Randwick

2020 MISS SISKA 2nd Sandown Classic

2019 AVILIUS Unpl Melbourne Cup

2018 GAILO CHOP Unpl McKinnon Stakes

http://www.melbournecupmethod.wordpress.com

http://www.facebook.com/winningfactors