Sunshine in Paris hard to beat in the All Aged Stakes

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Sunshine in Paris hard to beat in the All Aged Stakes

Chain of Lightning and Southport Tycoon the dangers

SUNSHINE IN PARIS finished out of the first three for the first time in the T J Smith Stakes when he was less than a length behind CHAIN OF LIGHTNING in fifth place. Sunshine in Paris is unbeaten at 1400m in his only run at that distance and that was at Randwick. She has a 50% strike-rate and that is what you need to look for in a race such as this. SOUTHPORT TYCOON and CHAIN OF LIGHTNING were both last race Group 1 winners and will be hard to roll here but Southport Tycoon won at 1600m last time and may find others too sharp here.

All Aged Stakes at Randwick (WFA) 1400m (G1)

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Gigakick 15×32 2^nd T J Smith Stakes 

2022 Cascadian 1559 9^th Doncaster Handicap

2021 Kolding 2250 Unpl George Ryder Stakes

2019 Pierata 3X525 5th T J Smith Stakes

2018 Trapeze Artist 1431 1st T J Smith Stakes

2017 Tivaci 0154 4th T J Smith Stakes

2016 English 6X113 3rd T J Smith Stakes

2015 Dissadent 6X313 3rd Futurity Stakes

2014 Hana’s Goal 83X06 4th Doncaster Handicap

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Mazu picked in the Hall Mark Stakes at Randwick

Mazu picked in the Hall Mark Stakes at Randwick

MAZU has a form line stacked full of G1 races and back to a G3 event he is likely to be more competitive, albeit with the top weight of 60kg, but over 1200m that will not be too much of an issue with a tight weight scale. Biggest danger will be VILANA who won this race last year. Vilana is first up and has won three times first up previously. James Cummings trains Vilana and the stable is known for getting their sprinters ready first up.

Hall Mark Stakes at Randwick 1200m (G3)

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Vilana 7810x Unplaced Gold Rush (Ascot Aus)

2022 Kementari 7410 Unpl MM Gold Coast

2021 Splintex 58X40 Unpl The Galaxy Stakes

2019 Trekking 194X4 4th M Macca Stakes

2018 Burning Passion 30X37 7th St Kin Stakes

2017 Redzel 81X22 2nd The Galaxy

2016 Music Magnate 3111 1st Randwick

2015 Our Boy Malachi X111X 1st Randwick

2014 Hot Snitzel 002X2 2nd St KIngdom Stakes

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Manaal going for two G1s in a week

Manaal going for two G1s in a week

Linebacker strong chance

MANAAL won the Sires Produce Stakes in heavy going at Randwick last week so the extra 200m should not be an issue because it takes stamina to win in the wet, prior to that win she ran 5^th in the Golden Slipper. The unbeaten LINEBACKER is the one she has to beat though. He will be suited by the 1600m. In both of his starts he was the very strong favourite. Backing these two may be the way to go here.

Champagne Stakes at Randwick 2YO 1600m (G1)

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2022 She’s Extreme 4.40 2172 2^nd Sires Produce Stakes 

2021 Captivant 4.00 4X353 3^rd Sire Produce Stakes 

2020 Result unavailable

2019 Castlevecchio 2.70 1133 3rd Sires Produce Stakes

2018 Seabrook 8.30 3159 9th Sires Produce Stakes

2017 The Mission 3416 6th Sires Produce Stakes

2016 Prized Icon 2321 1st Fernhill Stakes (Rand)

2015 Pasadena Girl 114 4th Sires Produce Stakes

2014 Go Indy Go 221 1st Sires Produce Stakes

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Lady Camelot top-weight in the Percy Sykes Stakes

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Lady Camelot top-weight in the Percy Sykes Stakes

The old adage “weight does not matter in two-year old races will be put to the test in the Percy Sykes Stakes at Randwick when the Golden Slipper winner LADY CAMELOT will carry 59kg. I think that against Group horses, weight will matter and there is a horse called DRIFTING who looks very smart. She has won twice and finished second from three races to date. She won smartly at Rosehill last time in a Group race at just her third start. Prior to that she was beaten narrowly in her only defeat. P & P Snowden trains Drifting.

Percy Sykes Stakes at Randwick (G2) 1200m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Kristilli $16.50 2 2^nd Kensington

2022 Paris D’or $3.00 212 2^nd Randwick Stakes 

2021 Jamaea $15.80 1262 2^nd Rosehill

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Via Sistina picked at Randwick

Via Sistina picked at Randwick

It is hard to go past the two European imports VIA SISTINA and PLACE DU CARROUNSEL in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Randwick on Saturday. They finished first and second respectively in the Ranvet Stakes on their Australian debuts and can be expected to improve. They also bring solid English form into the race. The best of the remainder has to be CASCADIAN because he has such a good record at Randwick and is improving with each race.

Queen Elizabeth Stakes at Randwick G1 2400m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Dubai Honour 426X1 Won Ranwet Stakes

2022 Think it Over 1424 Fourth Tancred Stakes

2021 Addeybb X11X2 Second Ranwet Stakes

2018 Winx 11X11 Won George Ryder Stakes

2017 Winx 1X111 Won George Ryder Stakes

2016 Lucia Valentina 915X4 Fourth Coolmore Classic

2015 Criterion 53X32 Second George Ryder Stakes

2014 Its a Dundeel 8X232 Second Tancred Stakes

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Olentia picked for the Queen of the Turf Stakes

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Olentia picked for the Queen of the Turf Stakes

Zougotcha and Atishu big chances

OLENTIA score a convincing win in the Emancipation Stakes two weeks later and can win again. She is under rated and it is just a matter of whether she can beat the hot shots in this. ZOUGOTCHA and ATISHU will be well-supported. They have Group 1 form. Zougotcha won the Coolmore Stakes last time while Atishu ran third in the Australia Cup. All three are trained by Chris Waller, who seems to have a very good record in the mares races. SEMANA is the other horse to consider after some good recent form.

Queen of the Turf Stakes Group 1 (F&M WFA) 1600m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 Atishu 123X2 2^nd Emancipation Stakes

2022 Nimalee 16X25 5^th Emancipation Stakes

2021 Nettoya 0X879 9^th Doncaster Handicap

2020 Result unavailable

2019 Kenedna 01X93 3rd Sunline Stakes (MV)

2018 Alizee 1604 4th Vinery Stud Stakes

2015 Amanpour 23X82 2nd Emancipation Stakes

2014 Diamond Drille 5814 4th Emancipation Stakes

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Sydney Cup-Chairmans is the best guide

Sydney Cup is wide open

The Sydney Cup is a wide open contest and from what I have seen of the entrants I am inclined to go for those horses that raced last Saturday. Loft, Stockman, Circle of Fire, and So Dazzling are in this category and the winner could come from within this four. They raced in the Chairman’s Stakes in heavy going last Saturday so don’t be surprized if there are form reversals among them. It should be noted that eight recent Sydney Cup winners raced in the Chairman’s Stakes prior to winning the Sydney Cup and only The Offer won the lead up race. Circle of Fire will be ridden by British jockey Andrea Atzeni. The Roy Higgins Stakes at Flemington could provide some clues for the Sydney Cup. Major Beel, who ran fourth in that race is a likely improver. He won last year’s Australian Derby. Athabascan, who finished 4th in the Tancred Stakes is another improver, Tyler Schiller rides him.

Sydney Cup at Randwick 3200m (G1)

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE

2023 EXPLOSIVE JACK 10^th Tancred Stakes 

2022 KNIGHTS ORDER Second Chairman’s Handicap

2021 SELINO 4th Chairman’s Handicap

2020 ETAH JAMES 4th Auckland Cup

2019 SHRAAOH 2nd Chairman’s Handicap

2018 WHO SHOT THEBARMAN 3rd Tancred Stakes (2400m)

2017 POLARIZATION Unplaced Doncaster (UK) September

2016 GALLANTE 3rd Manion Cup (2400m)

2015 GRAND MARSHAL 3rd Chairmans (2600m)

2014 THE OFFER Won Chairmans (2600m)

2013 MOURAYAN 4th Chairmans (2600m)

2012 NIVOT 4th BMW (Tancred Stakes) (2400m)

2011 STAND TO GAIN 10th Chairmans (2600m)

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Learning to Fly picked in the P J Bell Stakes at Randwick

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Learning to Fly picked in the P J Bell Stakes at Randwick

Miraval Rose worth noting

LEARNING TO FLY finished fourth in the G1 Surround Stakes at Randwick 2/3 and that form should be good enough to win the P J Bell Stakes at Randwick on Saturday. at her second to last trace she ran second to Kimochi in the Light Fingers Stakes. MIRAVAL ROSE has never finished out of the first two and is expected to be ready for a good first up run. Her last two runs have been at Caulfield. KRISTILLI has a similar form line to learning to Fly in that she raced in the Surround Stakes and the Light Finger Stakes at her last two starts. She is unbeaten in heavy going which is a key factor if the forecast rains arrive.

P J Bell Stakes at Randwick (G3) 1200m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Arts $32.20 Unplaced Kembla Grange Classic

2022 Heresy $4.80 04×54 4th Surround Stakes

2021 Match Maker $11.20 30×27 7th Rosehill

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Militarize picked for the Doncaster

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Militarize picked for the Doncaster

MILITARIZE is in form for the Doncaster Handicap at Randwick on Saturday. He has run two G1 placings at his last two starts. He has the class to take this out. Zac Purdon takes the ride. The Japanese galloper OBAMBURUMAI is going to be tough. He won the Golden Rose at Rosehill 4 November but has not raced since. He has obviously been set up for this. The Everest winner, THINK ABOUT IT is better than his recent form suggests. He ran fifth in the George Ryder Stakes last time out. 1 mile will not bother him.

Doncaster Handicap at Randwick (G1) 1600m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER AGE FORM LAST RACE

2023

2022

2021 CASCADIAN 6 5134 George Ryder Stakes

2020 NETTOYA 5 90X14 George Ryder Stakes

2019 BRUTAL 3 1×363 George Ryder Stakes

2018 HAPPY CLAPPER 7 62×12 George Ryder Stakes

2017 ITS SOMEWHAT 6 313×1 Ajax Stakes Rosehill

2016 WINX 4 1×111 George Ryder Stakes

2015 KERMADEC 3 4343 George Ryder Stakes

2014 SACRED FALLS 4 35×44 George Ryder Stakes

2013 SACRED FALLS 3 1×552 Rosehill Guineas

2012 MORE JOYOUS 5 17×11 Queen Elizabeth Stks

2011 SACRED CHOICE 5 6835 Ranvet Stakes

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Straight Charge selected for the Todman Stakes

Straight Charge selected for the Todman Stakes

STRAIGHT CHARGE has all of the right credentials to take out the Todman Stakes at Randwick. He has a 211 form line from his three races and won the Silver Slipper last time out. Two previous Silver Slipper winners have won this race. SWITZERLAND is going to be the biggest danger to him though. He was an odds-on winner of the Pierro Stakes at Randwick last time out. You have always got to respect a winner on the course in two year old races. Backing these two horses may well be the way to go. BODYGUARD is the other horse to consider. He is very smart and adds to the puzzle.

Todman Stakes (2YOC&G) 1200m (G2)

YEAR WINNER FORM LAST RACE

2023 CYLINDER 221 1st Silver Slipper

2022 SEJARDAN 11X3 Third Millennial Stakes

2021 ANAMOE 5123 Third Blue Diamond Stakes 

2020 FARNAN 1101 Won Silver Slipper Stakes

2019 YES YES YES 211 1st Moonee Valley

2018 AYLMERTON 1 1st Canterbury

2015 VANCOUVER 1X1 1st Rosehill

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