Grand Providence hard to beat in the Chester Cup

Grand Providence hard to beat in the Chester Cup

GRAND PROVIDENCE will be hard to roll in the CHester Cup if his form line is anything to go by. He has finished out of the money just once in seven starts. This season he has raced just once and that was when finishing third when beaten favourite at Newbury three weeks ago. It may be a concern how he will back up from that. His record suggests he will because he has had five races which were 21 days or less after  the previous race for a 32210 form line.

AZTEC EMPIRE is the current favourite at 5/1. He was the beaten favourite at both of his last two races. He has not won on turf but has finished placed against handy fields and a repeat of those efforts will see him go close to winning. He is having his first run for the season but has a good record of coming off breaks and running well.

Chester Cup winners 2m2f

(Friday)

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER FORM ODDS LAST RACE

2023 Metier P8P2 5/1 Second C2 Musselburgh

2022 Cleveland 551X5 6/1 Fifth listed race Naas

2021 Falcon Eight 4534X 15/2 Fourth G3 The Curragh

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 MAKING MIRACLES 0351 16/1 1st C2 Hcp Ripon

2018 MAGIC CIRCLE 7150 8/1 13th Newmarket October

2017 MONTALY 3200 16/1 15th C2 Hcp Doncaster

2016 NO HERETIC 6563 11/1 3rd C4 Novice Newbury

2015 TRIP TO PARIS 4411 10/1 1st C2 Hcp Ripon

2014 SUEGIOO 2523 10/1 3rd C2 Hcp Ripon

2013 ADDRESS UNKNOWN 2130 12/1 Unpl Haydock

2012 IKE DE EKE 2110 10/1 Unpl Sandown HUrdle

2011 OVERTURN 2573 11/2 3rd Hurdle Ayr

2010 MAM LOOK 1400 7/1F Unpl Aintree Hurdle

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Hamish Favourite for the Ormonde Stakes

Hamish Favourite for the Ormonde Stakes 

Hamish will be going for his third win in the Ormonde Stakes at Chester on Wednesday (UK time). He is unbeaten at Chester because those are his only appearances there. Hamish has been the favourite at six of his last seven races and the second favourite at the other one. His career record is seventeen starts for ten wins, four seconds, and one third. He has won his last five races on end with the most recent win being at G3 level at Newbury on his season’s reappearance.

Ormonde Stakes at Chester (G3) 1m5f

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS LAST RACE

2023 Hamish 10/11 Second G3 Newbury

2022 Hamish 9/2 7^th listed race Kempton

2021 Japan 13/8F 9th G1 Ascot (October)

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 Morando 3/1 1st G3 Newbury

2018 Idaho 8/11F 8th G1 Meydan

2017 Western Hymn 7/2 1st listed race Kempton

2016 Dartmouth evsF 1st G3 CFD

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Chester Vase attracts an open field

Chester Vase attracts an open field

As is always the case, the Chester Vase has attracted an unexposed bunch of youngsters, but despite it being a nightmare for form students the favourite has a good record in the race with all of the last 11 winners being at 8/1 or less and 5 of them were the favourite.

This leads us to take a look at the favourite for this year’s running. It is Grosvenor Square who is currently at evens. This horse has not raced since last October when winning a Group 3 event at Leopardstown. His career record is 131x It has been noted that each of his three races to date were on rain affected going. He has never raced on good going. On the plus side is this: He won in heavy going over 1m1f at his third start. It requires stamina to win in heavy going and I have no doubt that he will get the 1m4f distance.

Hidden Law is a horse who has to be considered. He is from the in-form Charlie Appleby. He has a 21 form line. At least 5 of the last 11 winners of this race were last race maiden winners.  Hidden Law is around 3/1 as is Cadogan Place from the Andrew Balding Yard. This horse is unbeaten after winning on debut. US Army Ranger (2016) and Ruler of the World (2013) were two previous winners of this race who were coming off a debut win. Both were at odds-on.

Chester Vase 3YO (Gp3) 1m 4f 

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Arrest 10/11f 3112X Second G1 Saint Cloud (Fr)

2022 Changingoftheguard 100/30 4521 Won Dundalk maiden

2021 Youth Spirit 7/1 4134 4th Listed race Newmarket

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2018 Young Rascal 100/30 21 1st Maiden Newbury

2017 Venice Beach 5/2F 231 1st Maiden Tipperary

2016 US Army Ranger 4/11F 1 1st Curragh

2015 Hans Holbein 7/4F 421 1st Maiden Leopardstown

2013 Ruler of the World 10/11F 1 1st Maiden Curragh

2012 Mickdaam 8/1 2142X 2nd C2 Newmarket

2011 Treasure Beach 7/2 1123X 3rd Ascot 2YO

2010 Ted Spread 8/1 713X 3rd C2 2YO Newmarket

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Galileo Dream picked to win the Cheshire Oaks

Galileo Dream picked to win the Cheshire Oaks

(Wednesday UK time)

GALILEO DREAM is my pick to win the Cheshire Oaks on Wednesday at Chester. This filly was an easy winner in heavy going at Leopardstown last time out. In similar conditions she will be hard to beat. RUBIES ARE RED finished second to Galileo Dream at Leopardstown and may be better suited by going which is not so heavy. In that case she is worth putting into your selections as a saver. BUTTONS is the best backed of Aidan O’Brien’s horses. This filly won on debut as a two year old in her only start in 2023. She resumed with a third and is an early improver. I expect any improving in the going will be in her favour. A big clue as to which is O’Brien’s chances is the choice of rider. Ryan Moore usually has the pick of O’Brien’s horses but can get it wrong sometimes. As for Buttons; she steps up from 7f and that is a concern but it should be noted that her only defeat came at Gp3 in heavy going and her only win was on good going.

Cheshire Oaks 3YOF 1m3f 75yds (listed)

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Savethelastdance 10/11 5X1 Won Maiden Leopardstown

2022 Thoughts of June 7/1 252 Second Leopardstown maiden

2021 Dubai Fountain 13/8F 2424 4th G1 2YO Newmarket

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 Medaayih 3/1F 6211 1st Chelmsford

2018 Magic Wand 3/1F 73 3rd Maiden Leopardstown

2017 Enable 2/1 13 3rd Newbury

2016 Somehow 8/15F 31 1st Leopardstown

2015 Diamonds and Rubies 5/4F 613 3rd Navan

2014 Anipa 16/1 2411 1st Windsor

2013 Banoffeel 9/1 1 1st Maiden Newbury

2012 Good Morning 50/1 1325 5th Beverley

2011 Wonder of Wonders 6/5F 271 1st Tipperary

2010 Gertrude Belle 5/2 3321 1st Maiden Newbury

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Irish form worth noting in the Cheshire Oaks

Irish form worth noting in the Cheshire Oaks

Chester (UK) Wednesday

Aidan O’Brien has several horses entered for the Cheshire Oaks at this stage but not all of them may line up. The horses are Save the Last Dance, Lambada, Boogie Woogie, and Be Happy.

Savethelastdance and Lambada are preferred as they are unbeaten this season. Six of the last 12 winners of this race were last race winners. This is a trappy race with so many unexposed fillies so it pays to tread warily.

Cheshire Oaks 3YOF 1m3f 75yds (listed)

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2022 Thoughts of June 7/1 252 Second Leopardstown maiden

2021 Dubai Fountain 13/8F 2424 4th G1 2YO Newmarket

2020 No race due to covid lockdown

2019 Medaayih 3/1F 6211 1st Chelmsford

2018 Magic Wand 3/1F 73 3rd Maiden Leopardstown

2017 Enable 2/1 13 3rd Newbury

2016 Somehow 8/15F 31 1st Leopardstown

2015 Diamonds and Rubies 5/4F 613 3rd Navan

2014 Anipa 16/1 2411 1st Windsor

2013 Banoffeel 9/1 1 1st Maiden Newbury

2012 Good Morning 50/1 1325 5th Beverley

2011 Wonder of Wonders 6/5F 271 1st Tipperary

2010 Gertrude Belle 5/2 3321 1st Maiden Newbury

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