Sires produce at Trentham attracts class field

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Velocious the one to beat in the Manawatu Sires Produce Stakes

VELOCIOUS is the one to beat in the Manawatu Sires Produce Stakes at Trentham on Saturday. The Marsh trained filly has swept all before her so far this season taking out the two big juvenile prizes of the season, The Magic Millions and the Sistema Stakes. Only a heavy track will beat Velocious because all of her 4 wins have been on good tracks and her only defeat, a 3rd in the Eclipse Stakes was on a soft track. CAPTURED BY LOVE won’t mind it heavy. She won in heavy going at New Plymouth in February before taking out the Matamata Breeders Stakes ten running third to Velocious in the Sistema Stakes; that being her only defeat. She has never beaten Velocious. An each way bet for value seekers is SAVAGLEE. He finished fourth in the Sistems Stakes. Savaglee has never finished in the first three on good ground but has never finished outside the first three in soft going. This suggests that rain affected going is his thing. ARCHAIC SMILE finished second in the Sistema Stakes. She has a tidy record and has won on soft going. UNBRIDLED JOY is another to watch. She finished 3rd to Captured by Love in the Matamata Breeders Stakes last time and is owned by Te Akau who also have Captured by Love. It should be noted that Te Akau have won five of the last six runnings of this race.

Manawatu Sires Produce Stakes 2YO 1400m Group 1

YEAR WINNER LAST RACE

2023 PIGNAN 3rd Matamata Breeders Stakes (G2)

2022 MAVEN BELLE Third Sistema Stakes (G1)

2021 ON THE BUBBLES 2nd Sistema Stakes Group 1 Ellerslie

2020 No race (covid lockdown)

2019 YOURDEEL 1st Sistema Stakes Group 1, Ellerslie

2018 AVANTAGE 2nd Sistema Stakes Group 1 Ellerslie

2017 MELODY BELLE 1st Magic Millions 2YO

2016 LUNAR ROSSA 1st 2YO Trentham

2015 MARKY MARK 4th Sistema Stakes Group 1 Ellerslie

2014 O’ MARILYN 2nd Sistema Stakes Group 1 Ellerslie

2013 RECITE 1st Matamata Breeders Stakes (G2)

2012 CHOICE BRO 7th Sistema Stakes Group 1 Eller

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Peru selected in the Sires Produce Stakes

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Peru selected in the Sires Produce Stakes

She Smashes danger

All of the last four winners of the Sires Produce Stakes at Flemington won their previous race with three of them having raced at 1200m or further when they won. The other, Let’srollthedice won over 1100m in heavy going. On that basis I am going for Peru who won over 1300m at Bendigo last time. This will be just his third race. SHE SMASHES won over 1200m at Pakenham last time. She is drawn wide but that may not matter on a roomy track like Flemington. AARDVARK is another to watch for. He won over 1100m at Flemington last time. Who knows how the step up to 1400m will go. You will be taking him on trust. Of the others EVAPORATE was narrowly beaten two weeks ago; albeit a maiden race while LA BELLA BONDI is on a seven day backup having raced on the course last Saturday. If you are looking for a bolter it is her. STAY FOCUSED finished within 2 lengths of the winner in the Blue Diamond Stakes. That is good form but the rise in distance may find him out.

MSS Security Sires Produce Stakes at Flemington (G2) 2YO 1400m

PAST WINNERS

YEAR WINNER ODDS FORM LAST RACE

2023 Veight $4.40 1 1st Pakenam

2022 Let’srollthedice $3.60 1 1st Bendigo

2021 Lightsaber $5.20 211 1st Sandown

2020 Lunar Fox $27.20 5×521 1st Ballarat

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