FRANCO NORTON is expected to be the one to beat in Saturday’s Geraldine Cup despite a handicap of 40m. He finished second in the Green Mile at Methven on Sunday and will back up for this. Franco Norton is at least 10 points clear in the ratings ahead of the next highest which is FRANCO INDIE. They are 87 and 77 respectively. Franco Norton will start from 30m behind. Franco Indie won at Motukarara two weeks ago and will be right in this. These are the two I would expect to fight out the finish. BUCKSKIN is having his third run back from a spell and will improve on his two runs this season. He raced over a mile at Methven last Sunday and will be suited by the increase in distance.
Here are some systems I have put on my site in the past. The information has not been updated. I suggest you just test them first without putting any money up. I think the best system is the eighty percent system and the second up system.
One start system
Back all horses who have started once for one win. System not applicable to 2-year-old races
One start one place
Back all horses in maiden who have raced once for one second or one third
3 wins in 6
Back all horses who have raced no more than 6 times and have won at least 3 races
One horse a day
At each meeting, back the last race winner which won by the biggest margin. In the event of a tie, preference is for the horse which last raced most recently
Maiden system
In maiden races, back horses with any of the following forms 22, 32, 23, 33
Beaten Favourite System
Back all last race beaten favourites which have finished in the money (1, 2, and 3) in at least 75% of their race starts.
Eighty-percent
Back all horses who have finished in the money in at least 80% of their starts and were unplaced last time out
Course winners
Back all course winners who have raced no more than 6 times
111
Back all horses with form 111 who have won on the course and the distance
SECOND-UP SYSTEM
1-Second up after a spell
2-Last raced within the previous fifteen days
3-20%+ win-rate
THREE-YEAR-OLD SYSTEM
Back any three-year-old that has won on the same course.
OVERDUE
1-Finished within a length of the winner at both of its last two starts.
2-Last raced within the previous fifteen days.
ONE A MEETING SYSTEM
One horse is backed per meeting bases on the following form in their last three starts. Preference for the following forms in the order listed are;
During the month of September back all three year old last race winners in races restricted to three-year-olds only providing that the win was not longer than fourteeen days ago.
2017
DATE HORSE TRACK RESULT
02/09 WATCHMESPIN Caulfield won 15.20 and 3.10
02/09 FORMALITY Randwick won 2.30 and 1.60
09/09 MASCULINO Moonee V won 5.00 and 2.00
23/09 LEATHER ‘N’ LACE Caulfield won 4.20 and 1.70
SEIKRID finished a tidy 7th at Riccarton when resuming and that run suggested that this is very winnable for her. She is a smart mare on her day but hasn’t always had the right track conditions for it. With Joe Doyle in the saddle she is going to be a big chance in this. EXCHANGE is capable of winning this first up. He gets 4kg off which will make him very competitive. Many in this race have done their share of racing this season and are best avoided.
BONNY LASS has a terrific form line and wil be hard to beat in the Counties Bowl despite her big weight. She can handle most types of going, unlike most of her rivals. BABYLN BERLIN is equal top weight. A heavy track will give her the edge. DRAGON LEAP is quite capable of beating the two mares though. He has an amazing turn of foot and won’t mind it wet.
Pukekohe-Victor Vegas selected in the Counties Cup
The nine year old VICTOR VEGAS may just give his younger rivals a run for their money in Saturday’s Counties Cup if the going is on the heavy side of soft. He finished on strongly for 4th in the Balmerino Stakes on the course last time and has 3.5kg less to carry. THE MAJOR finished second on that day and will carry half-a-kilo more which means that Victor Vegas 4kg better off sat the weights. SELF OBSESSION is the one they all have to beat but there has to be some query about whether she can handle a heavy 10 track. She has a terrific strike-rate and it is suggested that backing Victor Vegas and Self Obsession may be the way to go. BELLE EN ROUGE, a stablemate of Self Obsession is a chance. It should be noted that they come from the same stable as The Twinkling, a twice winner of this race.She is also stepping up from a mile and will not mind it wet. EVEN CHANCE is the other one I like. He is trained at Pukekohe, does not mind it wet and has a good strike-rate.
melbournecupmethod 