North and South looks a good chance to take out the Marton Metric Mile tomorrow.She will really like the big roomy straight at Awapuni, the 1600 metres, and the heavy track. Of course Spoke to Carlo will be all the rage and a short priced favourite.
Other chances at AWapuni are Master Platinum race 1, Regalo Reaal race 3, and Lastrollofthedice in race 5.
At Ashburton, I like Maia’s Angel in race 3 and Cantilena in race 4,
The dangers of backing horses first up were highlighted on Saturday at Moonee Valley when well backed Contributor was beaten favourite when resuming after a layoff. HE had a great first up winning record but has targeting the Melbourne Cup. A horse may be the classiest in the race but unless it is ready to win then it won. The other instance was Tricoteuse at Riccarton. She I believe is entered for the Couplands Mile so a first up win at 1200 metres wasn’t that likely especially since she has never won at that distance.
The Rogerson two year olds cleaned up most of the races during the early part of 2014-2015 racing season and may do likewise this season starting at Wanganui tomorrow. They have two horses in the first race tomorrow; Pieran Spring and Savasava. It may well be worth backing both.
Other chances at Wanganui are;Talk The Torque, Taipa Tiger, Cancellara, and Watch Your Man.
The Browne Keeper has to be worth a bet in race 6 at Riccarton, surely because she is a last race course and distance winner with a 50% strike race. The main query will be the heavy track but she must be worth risking. Main danger is Tricoteuse. Other chance at Riccarton are Pacific Choice which won her recent trial by eight lengths and Whatastar (race 3) which in four starts has raced twice in listed company including her debut race.
Sea of Speed has been disappointing since she won on debut at Avondale just over a year ago but she looks well placed to put her disappointing form behind her and win the last race tomorrow. She actually started in the Bonecrusher Stakes at her second start so she must have shown the Logan camp some glimpse of ability.
Other Ellerslie chances are Eletist (race 1), Kilmac (race 2), Trickle Down (race 9), and Amanood Lad (race 7)
Velacious ran a cracking race in the last. She got well back and made a stack of ground late. I knew she would appreciate the better ground. Its a pity she didn’t win because I backed her and she was paying $35
Waikaha is probably a second-up job. The going may have had more give in it than she liked. This was the first time she had been out of the money in a non listed race.
It looks like a Logan/Gibbs team quaddie at Ruakaka today with Hassel hoof, Silencer, Loves the Show, & Caduceus all looking strong chances. You won’t get rich but at least its a chance to pick it in one.
Speedy Jax must be a winning chance at Ashburton. He finished out of the money on a slow track at Riccarton last start and will appreciate the better ground her. He looks set to win his share in the South Island. Maggie’s Secret in race 5 finished placed on the course and distance last time out and is a chance in that one.
If there was one long shot that may finish in the money at Hastings, it is Veracious in the last. I was impressed by its course and distance when winning June and had her in mind for the Spring carnival but she ran down the track in two heavy tracks since but I think the better going will be in her favour and she is worth a bet at who knows what her odds will be. Other horses tomorrow at Hastings I like are Colonel Carrera race 1, Michelin race 2, Serena Miss race 3, The Knights Queen race 4, Southern Icon race 6, Kawi race 7, and Valante race 8
Selena Miss looks the best bet. She is a group 2 winner and Leith Innes who rides her has had one previous ride on Serena Miss for a win.
It wouldn’t surprise me if there was the same trifecta in the Makfi tomorrow as there was in April’s Easter Handicap where Ponderosa Miss, Vespa, and Kawi fought out the finish with less than half-a-length between the trio. I think that Kawi looks the one to win. He has a habit of doing things wrong but is good enough to overcome them. IN the Easter he was slow away but made up a lot of ground at the finish. Ponderosa Miss is better off at 1600m but is good enough to get this as is Vespa who is a class horse.